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Fed
Fed decision in January?
$36m Vol.
$7m today
$4m Liq.
1,369
Ends in about 1 month
77%
No change
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$70m Vol.
$2m today
$1m Liq.
223
Ends in about 1 year
54%
Kevin Hassett
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
$9m Vol.
$104k today
$236k Liq.
88
Ends in 13 days
90%
No announcement by December 31
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$1m Vol.
$75.9k today
$756k Liq.
15
20%
3 (75 bps)
Fed decision in March?
$497k Vol.
$289k Liq.
418
Ends in 3 months
56%
Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?
$473k Vol.
$41.7k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
100%
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
$78.8k Liq.
5
1%
Fed decision in April?
$440k Vol.
$278k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
63%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
$12m Vol.
$134k Liq.
420
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$498k Vol.
$44.1k Liq.
78%
Cut–Cut–Pause
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
$228k Vol.
$68.9k Liq.
53%
Cut–Pause–Pause
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?
$3.8k Vol.
$25.5k Liq.
97%
June 30, 2026
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?
$10m Vol.
$19.8k Liq.
1,094
16%
February 28, 2026
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$947 Vol.
$2.9k Liq.
34%
3
Fed rate cut by...?
$254 Vol.
$81.7k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
72%
June Meeting
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)
$419 Vol.
$104k Liq.
32%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$4.0k Vol.
$21.4k Liq.
Ends in 12 months
11%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
$1.2k Vol.
$24.9k Liq.
64%
4.4%
Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025?
$22.1k Vol.
$17.1k Liq.
2
<1%
Fed Decision in June?
$1.1k Vol.
$140k Liq.
44%
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