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Fed decision in January?

Fed

Fed decision in January?

$315m Vol.

$29m today

$16m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 14 days

95%

No change

$315m Vol.

$29m today

$16m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 14 days

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Fed

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$179m Vol.

$6m today

$4m Liq.

411

Ends in 12 months

40%

Kevin Warsh

$179m Vol.

$6m today

$4m Liq.

411

Ends in 12 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Fed

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$2m Vol.

$192k today

$964k Liq.

25

Ends in 12 months

28%

2 (50 bps)

$2m Vol.

$192k today

$964k Liq.

25

Ends in 12 months

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Fed

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

$811k Vol.

$112k today

$72.1k Liq.

15

Ends in 17 days

96%

Cut–Cut–Pause

$811k Vol.

$112k today

$72.1k Liq.

15

Ends in 17 days

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Fed

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$346k Vol.

$109k today

$165k Liq.

13

Ends in 4 months

9%

May 14

$346k Vol.

$109k today

$165k Liq.

13

Ends in 4 months

Fed decision in March?

Fed

Fed decision in March?

$2m Vol.

$105k today

$378k Liq.

418

Ends in 2 months

67%

No change

$2m Vol.

$105k today

$378k Liq.

418

Ends in 2 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

$232k Vol.

$71.6k today

$87.1k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

74%

June Meeting

$232k Vol.

$71.6k today

$87.1k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Fed

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

$80.4k Vol.

$72.6k Liq.

26

Ends in 6 months

13%

$80.4k Vol.

$72.6k Liq.

26

Ends in 6 months

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

Fed

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

$210k Vol.

$21.9k Liq.

4

Ends in 17 days

99%

June 30, 2026

$210k Vol.

$21.9k Liq.

4

Ends in 17 days

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

Fed

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

$22.8k Vol.

$36.8k Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

4%

$22.8k Vol.

$36.8k Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Fed

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

$418k Vol.

$78.2k Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

69%

Cut–Pause–Pause

$418k Vol.

$78.2k Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Fed decision in April?

Fed

Fed decision in April?

$626k Vol.

$288k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

69%

No change

$626k Vol.

$288k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

Fed

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

$214k Vol.

$25.8k Liq.

3

Ends in 17 days

42%

No announcement by Jan 31

$214k Vol.

$25.8k Liq.

3

Ends in 17 days

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$20.5k Vol.

$113k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

51%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$20.5k Vol.

$113k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Fed

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$293k Vol.

$190k Liq.

3

Ends in 12 months

95%

↓ 3.25%

$293k Vol.

$190k Liq.

3

Ends in 12 months

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

Fed

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

$5.7k Vol.

$3.9k Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

30%

$5.7k Vol.

$3.9k Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Fed

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$9.7k Vol.

$203k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

25%

3.25%

$9.7k Vol.

$203k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Fed

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$51.9k Vol.

$5.9k Liq.

3

Ends in 12 months

53%

December 31

$51.9k Vol.

$5.9k Liq.

3

Ends in 12 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

Fed

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

$14.2k Vol.

$23.9k Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

45%

4.3%

$14.2k Vol.

$23.9k Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by...?

Fed

Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by...?

$2.0k Vol.

$2.4k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

9%

January 31

$2.0k Vol.

$2.4k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

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