How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
$1,105 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
4.3%
$512 Vol.
65%
4.3%
$512 Vol.
65%
4.4%
$108 Vol.
62%
4.4%
$108 Vol.
62%
4.5%
$245 Vol.
23%
4.5%
$245 Vol.
23%
4.6%
$195 Vol.
15%
4.6%
$195 Vol.
15%
4.8%
$13 Vol.
10%
4.8%
$13 Vol.
10%
5.0%
$32 Vol.
7%
5.0%
$32 Vol.
7%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Created At: Dec 9, 2025, 7:17 PM UTC
Volume
$1,105End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Dec 9, 2025, 7:17 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...$1,105 Vol.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
4.3%
$512 Vol.
65%
4.4%
$108 Vol.
62%
4.5%
$245 Vol.
23%
4.6%
$195 Vol.
15%
4.8%
$13 Vol.
10%
5.0%
$32 Vol.
7%
About
Volume
$1,105End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Dec 9, 2025, 7:17 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...
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