How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

Name: How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
Start: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

$67,304 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

4.4%
$15,884 Vol.
23%

4.5%
$15,538 Vol.
19%

4.6%
$4,647 Vol.
8%

4.8%
$7,571 Vol.
3%

5.0%
$4,506 Vol.
3%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

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How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

$67,304 Vol.

4.4%

$15,884 Vol.

23%

4.5%

$15,538 Vol.

19%

4.6%

$4,647 Vol.

4.8%

$7,571 Vol.

5.0%

$4,506 Vol.

About

Volume

$67,304

End Date

Mar 31, 2026

Created At

Dec 9, 2025, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Fed rate hike in 2026?

12%

Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

86%

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