**Market-implied odds for the Federal Reserve maintaining its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range through the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings stand at 97.4%.** Elevated April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions has reinforced the Fed’s data-dependent pause. Resilient labor market conditions with unemployment near 4.3% and the April FOMC’s decision to hold rates, despite four dissents, have aligned trader consensus with official communications emphasizing balanced risks and no near-term policy shift. The June 10 CPI release and June 16-17 meeting with updated projections remain key catalysts that could alter the path if inflation moderates faster than expected or growth weakens materially.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트동결–동결–동결 97.4%
동결–동결–인하 2.3%
기타 <1%
$1,217,437 거래량
$1,217,437 거래량
2026.06.17
동결–동결–동결
97%
동결–동결–인하
2%
기타
1%
동결–동결–동결 97.4%
동결–동결–인하 2.3%
기타 <1%
$1,217,437 거래량
$1,217,437 거래량
2026.06.17
동결–동결–동결
$129,387 거래량
97%
동결–동결–인하
$74,639 거래량
2%
기타
$268,069 거래량
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm**Market-implied odds for the Federal Reserve maintaining its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range through the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings stand at 97.4%.** Elevated April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions has reinforced the Fed’s data-dependent pause. Resilient labor market conditions with unemployment near 4.3% and the April FOMC’s decision to hold rates, despite four dissents, have aligned trader consensus with official communications emphasizing balanced risks and no near-term policy shift. The June 10 CPI release and June 16-17 meeting with updated projections remain key catalysts that could alter the path if inflation moderates faster than expected or growth weakens materially.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
마켓 개설일: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
거래량
$1,217,437종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm**Market-implied odds for the Federal Reserve maintaining its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range through the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings stand at 97.4%.** Elevated April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions has reinforced the Fed’s data-dependent pause. Resilient labor market conditions with unemployment near 4.3% and the April FOMC’s decision to hold rates, despite four dissents, have aligned trader consensus with official communications emphasizing balanced risks and no near-term policy shift. The June 10 CPI release and June 16-17 meeting with updated projections remain key catalysts that could alter the path if inflation moderates faster than expected or growth weakens materially.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
거래량
$1,217,437종료일
2026.06.17마켓 개설일
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Market-implied odds for the Federal Reserve maintaining its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range through the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings stand at 97.4%.** Elevated April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions has reinforced the Fed’s data-dependent pause. Resilient labor market conditions with unemployment near 4.3% and the April FOMC’s decision to hold rates, despite four dissents, have aligned trader consensus with official communications emphasizing balanced risks and no near-term policy shift. The June 10 CPI release and June 16-17 meeting with updated projections remain key catalysts that could alter the path if inflation moderates faster than expected or growth weakens materially.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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