Market icon

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

3.0% 31%

3.25% 22%

2.75% 14%

3.5% 13%

$120,296 Vol.

Rules

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.

This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.

The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
Volume
$120,296
End Date
Dec 9, 2026
Created At
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).

Beware of external links.

Market icon

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

3.0% 31%

3.25% 22%

2.75% 14%

3.5% 13%

$120,296 Vol.

≤1.0%

$25,959 Vol.

3%

1.25

$29,440 Vol.

1%

1.5%

$2,118 Vol.

1%

1.75%

$1,591 Vol.

<1%

2.0%

$2,279 Vol.

1%

2.25%

$3,404 Vol.

3%

2.5%

$2,984 Vol.

5%

2.75%

$4,256 Vol.

14%

3.0%

$7,826 Vol.

31%

3.25%

$6,676 Vol.

22%

3.5%

$8,546 Vol.

13%

3.75%

$13,854 Vol.

8%

4.0%

$4,006 Vol.

2%

4.25%

$3,444 Vol.

<1%

≥ 4.5%

$3,915 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$120,296
End Date
Dec 9, 2026
Created At
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ET

Beware of external links.