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Fed Rates
Fed decision in January?
$38m Vol.
$8m today
$4m Liq.
1,369
Ends in about 1 month
73%
No change
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$70m Vol.
$2m today
$1m Liq.
226
Ends in about 1 year
53%
Kevin Hassett
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
$9m Vol.
$102k today
$259k Liq.
88
Ends in 13 days
91%
No announcement by December 31
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$1m Vol.
$59.5k today
$728k Liq.
16
20%
3 (75 bps)
Fed decision in March?
$519k Vol.
$50.9k today
$292k Liq.
418
Ends in 3 months
49%
25 bps decrease
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
$73.4k Liq.
5
<1%
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?
$70.2k Vol.
$11.8k Liq.
2
Ends in 12 days
100%
ECB rate cut in 2025?
$304k Vol.
$23.0k Liq.
4
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?
$5m Vol.
$113k Liq.
167
1%
4.6%
Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?
$473k Vol.
$65.6k Liq.
1
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
$237k Vol.
$62.4k Liq.
Cut–Pause–Pause
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$504k Vol.
$43.5k Liq.
15
Cut–Cut–Pause
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
$12m Vol.
$138k Liq.
420
Fed decision in April?
$440k Vol.
$283k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
63%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$5.0k Vol.
$20.7k Liq.
4.3%
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in 2025?
$965k Vol.
$51.3k Liq.
17
3%
3.9%
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?
$3.8k Vol.
$15.9k Liq.
98%
June 30, 2026
Fed abolished in 2025?
$408k Vol.
$9.0k Liq.
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$947 Vol.
$2.6k Liq.
34%
3
Fed rate cut by...?
$398 Vol.
$83.4k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
June Meeting
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