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Fed decision in January?
$315m Vol.
$29m today
$16m Liq.
1,369
Ends in 14 days
95%
No change
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$179m Vol.
$6m today
$4m Liq.
411
Ends in 12 months
40%
Kevin Warsh
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$2m Vol.
$192k today
$963k Liq.
25
28%
2 (50 bps)
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$811k Vol.
$112k today
$72.4k Liq.
15
Ends in 17 days
96%
Cut–Cut–Pause
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$346k Vol.
$109k today
$165k Liq.
13
Ends in 4 months
9%
May 14
Fed decision in March?
$105k today
$378k Liq.
418
Ends in 2 months
67%
Fed rate cut by...?
$232k Vol.
$71.6k today
$87.1k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 months
74%
June Meeting
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
$80.4k Vol.
$73.0k Liq.
26
Ends in 6 months
13%
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?
$210k Vol.
$21.8k Liq.
4
99%
June 30, 2026
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?
$22.8k Vol.
$37.1k Liq.
4%
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
$418k Vol.
$76.7k Liq.
69%
Cut–Pause–Pause
Fed decision in April?
$626k Vol.
$288k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)
$20.5k Vol.
$113k Liq.
51%
Pause–Pause–Pause
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$293k Vol.
$191k Liq.
3
↓ 3.25%
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?
$5.7k Vol.
$3.6k Liq.
30%
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$9.7k Vol.
$201k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
25%
3.25%
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$51.9k Vol.
$5.0k Liq.
53%
December 31
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
$14.2k Vol.
$24.5k Liq.
45%
4.3%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$16.6k Vol.
$14.5k Liq.
89%
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by...?
$2.0k Vol.
$2.7k Liq.
January 31
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