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Economy predictions & odds

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

5%

$9M Vol.

$1M today

$272K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

29%

$8M Vol.

$1M today

$247K Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

2%

40+

$3M Vol.

$861K today

$161K Liq.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

54%

$3M Vol.

$727K today

$206K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

49%

December 31, 2026

$23M Vol.

$642K today

$126K Liq.

255

Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

70%

NVIDIA

$2M Vol.

$623K today

$994K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

96%

No change

$19M Vol.

$545K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

69%

NVIDIA

$10M Vol.

$443K today

$1M Liq.

79

Ends in about 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

56%

0 (0 bps)

$24M Vol.

$363K today

$916K Liq.

67

Ends in 8 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

$37M Vol.

$203K today

$286K Liq.

3

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

79%

20+

$251K Vol.

$71.7K today

$32.9K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

51%

NVIDIA

$3M Vol.

$562K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

68%

25 bps Increase

$156K Vol.

$34.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

90%

No change

$5M Vol.

$355K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

April Inflation US - Annual
Economy·Inflation

April Inflation US - Annual

38%

3.7%

$257K Vol.

$76.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

3%

$162K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

Will gas hit __ by end of May?
Economy·Inflation

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

69%

↑ $4.60

$121K Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

<1%

$223K Vol.

$42.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

95%

Decrease

$240K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

Ends in about 6 hours

How high will inflation get in 2026?
Economy·Inflation

How high will inflation get in 2026?

99%

Above 3.5%

$824K Vol.

$161K Liq.

22

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Economy.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Economy that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $146.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Economy predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.