Economy Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Fed decision in March?

Economy

Fed decision in March?

$35m Vol.

$13m today

$4m Liq.

418

Ends in about 1 month

89%

No change

$35m Vol.

$13m today

$4m Liq.

418

Ends in about 1 month

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

Economy

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

$7m Vol.

$3m today

$719k Liq.

337

Ends in about 2 months

100%

3+ days

$7m Vol.

$3m today

$719k Liq.

337

Ends in about 2 months

Largest Company End of February?

Economy

Largest Company End of February?

$681k Vol.

$196k today

$238k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

93%

NVIDIA

$681k Vol.

$196k today

$238k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

Economy

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

$20m Vol.

$126k today

$98.3k Liq.

220

29%

December 31, 2026

$20m Vol.

$126k today

$98.3k Liq.

220

Largest Company end of March?

Economy

Largest Company end of March?

$1m Vol.

$89.3k today

$284k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

84%

NVIDIA

$1m Vol.

$89.3k today

$284k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

Economy

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

$1m Vol.

$62.5k today

$99.0k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

99%

No change

$1m Vol.

$62.5k today

$99.0k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$4m Vol.

$821k Liq.

34

Ends in 11 months

28%

3 (75 bps)

$4m Vol.

$821k Liq.

34

Ends in 11 months

2nd Largest company end of February?

Economy

2nd Largest company end of February?

$137k Vol.

$60.5k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

90%

Alphabet

$137k Vol.

$60.5k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

2nd largest company end of March?

Economy

2nd largest company end of March?

$284k Vol.

$76.5k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

76%

Alphabet

$284k Vol.

$76.5k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

3rd largest company end of March?

Economy

3rd largest company end of March?

$48.0k Vol.

$25.7k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

73%

Apple

$48.0k Vol.

$25.7k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Bank of Mexico decision in February?

Economy

Bank of Mexico decision in February?

$81.2k Vol.

$12.2k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

95%

No change

$81.2k Vol.

$12.2k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Economy

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

$711k Vol.

$67.9k Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

88%

Cut–Pause–Pause

$711k Vol.

$67.9k Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Economy

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$107k Vol.

$52.2k Liq.

5

Ends in 5 months

6%

Deutsche Bank

$107k Vol.

$52.2k Liq.

5

Ends in 5 months

Bank of England decision in February?

Economy

Bank of England decision in February?

$196k Vol.

$42.4k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

99%

No change

$196k Vol.

$42.4k Liq.

Ends in 3 days

SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Economy

SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

$24.1k Vol.

$4.0k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

67%

$24.1k Vol.

$4.0k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

Largest Company end of June?

Economy

Largest Company end of June?

$1m Vol.

$237k Liq.

79

Ends in 5 months

70%

NVIDIA

$1m Vol.

$237k Liq.

79

Ends in 5 months

3rd largest company end of February?

Economy

3rd largest company end of February?

$557k Vol.

$40.1k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

86%

Apple

$557k Vol.

$40.1k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?

Economy

Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?

$13.5k Vol.

$1.4k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

57%

$13.5k Vol.

$1.4k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

Number of TSA Passengers January 31?

Economy

Number of TSA Passengers January 31?

$15.7k Vol.

$5.1k Liq.

91%

<2.0M

$15.7k Vol.

$5.1k Liq.

Fed rate cut by...?

Economy

Fed rate cut by...?

$702k Vol.

$66.2k Liq.

3

Ends in 5 months

64%

June Meeting

$702k Vol.

$66.2k Liq.

3

Ends in 5 months

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