Economy predictions & odds

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Fed decision in January?

Economy

Fed decision in January?

$224m Vol.

$26m today

$9m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 18 days

97%

No change

$224m Vol.

$26m today

$9m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 18 days

Largest Company end of January?

Economy

Largest Company end of January?

$4m Vol.

$543k today

$543k Liq.

Ends in 21 days

96%

NVIDIA

$4m Vol.

$543k today

$543k Liq.

Ends in 21 days

2nd Largest company end of January?

Economy

2nd Largest company end of January?

$1m Vol.

$160k today

$136k Liq.

Ends in 21 days

75%

Alphabet

$1m Vol.

$160k today

$136k Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Fed decision in March?

Economy

Fed decision in March?

$1m Vol.

$126k today

$361k Liq.

418

Ends in 2 months

68%

No change

$1m Vol.

$126k today

$361k Liq.

418

Ends in 2 months

Bank of Japan decision in January?

Economy

Bank of Japan decision in January?

$1m Vol.

$97.7k today

$93.0k Liq.

Ends in 13 days

98%

No change

$1m Vol.

$97.7k today

$93.0k Liq.

Ends in 13 days

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$2m Vol.

$79.3k today

$903k Liq.

19

Ends in 12 months

27%

2 (50 bps)

$2m Vol.

$79.3k today

$903k Liq.

19

Ends in 12 months

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Economy

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

$371k Vol.

$53.2k today

$85.2k Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

67%

Cut–Pause–Pause

$371k Vol.

$53.2k today

$85.2k Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

Economy

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

$19m Vol.

$50.3k today

$139k Liq.

209

22%

December 31, 2026

$19m Vol.

$50.3k today

$139k Liq.

209

GDP growth in 2025

Economy

Democratic Presidential Nomination

GDP growth in 2025

$734k Vol.

$36.2k Liq.

15

Ends in 19 days

74%

2.0–2.5%

$734k Vol.

$36.2k Liq.

15

Ends in 19 days

Largest Company end of March?

Economy

Largest Company end of March?

$550k Vol.

$237k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

80%

NVIDIA

$550k Vol.

$237k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

2nd largest company end of March?

Economy

2nd largest company end of March?

$51.8k Vol.

$25.0k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

45%

Alphabet

$51.8k Vol.

$25.0k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

Economy

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

$126k Vol.

$46.4k Liq.

Ends in 21 days

99%

June 30, 2026

$126k Vol.

$46.4k Liq.

Ends in 21 days

3rd largest company end of January?

Economy

3rd largest company end of January?

$297k Vol.

$50.0k Liq.

Ends in 21 days

71%

Apple

$297k Vol.

$50.0k Liq.

Ends in 21 days

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

Economy

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

$153k Vol.

$52.6k Liq.

3

Ends in 21 days

18%

No announcement by Jan 31

$153k Vol.

$52.6k Liq.

3

Ends in 21 days

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

Economy

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

$228k Vol.

$23.0k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

97%

No change

$228k Vol.

$23.0k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Economy

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

$195k Vol.

$17.9k Liq.

2

Ends in 19 days

47%

>3.5%

$195k Vol.

$17.9k Liq.

2

Ends in 19 days

Largest Company end of June?

Economy

Largest Company end of June?

$1m Vol.

$207k Liq.

79

Ends in 6 months

53%

NVIDIA

$1m Vol.

$207k Liq.

79

Ends in 6 months

Bank of Brazil decision in January?

Economy

Bank of Brazil decision in January?

$107k Vol.

$12.9k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

83%

No Change

$107k Vol.

$12.9k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Economy

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

$559k Vol.

$80.8k Liq.

15

Ends in 21 days

97%

Cut–Cut–Pause

$559k Vol.

$80.8k Liq.

15

Ends in 21 days

What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

Economy

What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

$65.6k Vol.

$64.2k Liq.

11

Ends in 18 days

99%

Good afternoon

$65.6k Vol.

$64.2k Liq.

11

Ends in 18 days

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