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Economy predictions & odds

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

5%

$9M Vol.

$2M today

$278K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

28%

$8M Vol.

$1M today

$295K Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

1%

40+

$3M Vol.

$972K today

$165K Liq.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

52%

$3M Vol.

$786K today

$224K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

71%

NVIDIA

$2M Vol.

$629K today

$992K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

49%

December 31, 2026

$23M Vol.

$613K today

$135K Liq.

255

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

96%

No change

$19M Vol.

$555K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

66%

NVIDIA

$10M Vol.

$440K today

$1M Liq.

79

Ends in about 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

56%

0 (0 bps)

$24M Vol.

$364K today

$923K Liq.

67

Ends in 8 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

$37M Vol.

$203K today

$286K Liq.

3

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

75%

20+

$250K Vol.

$84.9K today

$31.8K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

50%

NVIDIA

$3M Vol.

$560K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

61%

25 bps Increase

$155K Vol.

$35.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

90%

No change

$5M Vol.

$405K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

April Inflation US - Annual
Economy·Inflation

April Inflation US - Annual

38%

3.7%

$257K Vol.

$84.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

4%

$160K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

Will gas hit __ by end of May?
Economy·Inflation

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

68%

↑ $4.60

$120K Vol.

$35.1K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

<1%

$223K Vol.

$41.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

95%

Decrease

$238K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

How high will inflation get in 2026?
Economy·Inflation

How high will inflation get in 2026?

99%

Above 3.5%

$823K Vol.

$164K Liq.

22

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Economy.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Economy that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $146.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Economy predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.