Economic Policy predictions & odds

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Fed decision in March?

Economic Policy

Fed decision in March?

$56m Vol.

$5m today

$4m Liq.

418

Ends in about 1 month

91%

No change

$56m Vol.

$5m today

$4m Liq.

418

Ends in about 1 month

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

Economic Policy

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

$2m Vol.

$233k today

$72.6k Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

100%

No change

$2m Vol.

$233k today

$72.6k Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economic Policy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$4m Vol.

$90.4k today

$839k Liq.

35

Ends in 11 months

27%

3 (75 bps)

$4m Vol.

$90.4k today

$839k Liq.

35

Ends in 11 months

Fed decision in April?

Economic Policy

Fed decision in April?

$1m Vol.

$54.9k today

$397k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

78%

No change

$1m Vol.

$54.9k today

$397k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed Decision in June?

Economic Policy

Fed Decision in June?

$129k Vol.

$282k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

46%

25 bps decrease

$129k Vol.

$282k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Bank of Japan Decision in March?

Economic Policy

Bank of Japan Decision in March?

$248k Vol.

$25.4k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

80%

No change

$248k Vol.

$25.4k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Economic Policy

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$847k Vol.

$88.2k Liq.

31

Ends in 3 months

8%

May 14

$847k Vol.

$88.2k Liq.

31

Ends in 3 months

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Economic Policy

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

$295k Vol.

$18.3k Liq.

2

57%

>3.5%

$295k Vol.

$18.3k Liq.

2

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in February?

Economic Policy

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in February?

$31.5k Vol.

$9.4k Liq.

Ends in 13 days

98%

No Change

$31.5k Vol.

$9.4k Liq.

Ends in 13 days

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economic Policy

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$561k Vol.

$179k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

89%

↓ 3.25%

$561k Vol.

$179k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

$747k Vol.

$69.5k Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

90%

Cut–Pause–Pause

$747k Vol.

$69.5k Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Bank of Mexico decision in February?

Economic Policy

Bank of Mexico decision in February?

$89.0k Vol.

$18.0k Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

100%

No change

$89.0k Vol.

$18.0k Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

ECB Interest Rates: March 2026

Economic Policy

ECB Interest Rates: March 2026

$60.2k Vol.

$20.3k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

92%

No change

$60.2k Vol.

$20.3k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Reserve Bank of Australia decision in March?

Economic Policy

Reserve Bank of Australia decision in March?

$13.0k Vol.

$9.7k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

92%

No Change

$13.0k Vol.

$9.7k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Bank of Russia decision in February?

Economic Policy

Bank of Russia decision in February?

$77.1k Vol.

$20.9k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

61%

No Change

$77.1k Vol.

$20.9k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Bank of Brazil Decision in March?

Economic Policy

Bank of Brazil Decision in March?

$57.9k Vol.

$9.1k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

94%

Decrease

$57.9k Vol.

$9.1k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

US recession by end of 2026?

Economic Policy

US recession by end of 2026?

$204k Vol.

$37.1k Liq.

23

Ends in 12 months

26%

$204k Vol.

$37.1k Liq.

23

Ends in 12 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Economic Policy

Fed rate cut by...?

$709k Vol.

$83.9k Liq.

3

Ends in 4 months

74%

June Meeting

$709k Vol.

$83.9k Liq.

3

Ends in 4 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Economic Policy

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$123k Vol.

$180k Liq.

Ends in 10 months

32%

3.0%

$123k Vol.

$180k Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Bank of Korea decision in February?

Economic Policy

Bank of Korea decision in February?

$10.0k Vol.

$9.5k Liq.

Ends in 22 days

98%

No Change

$10.0k Vol.

$9.5k Liq.

Ends in 22 days

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