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RBNZ predictions & odds

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Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

43%

Giorgia Meloni

$14.2K Vol.

$50.6K Liq.

8

Ends in over 2 years

NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner

NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner

99%

Matthew Schaefer

$492K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

86%

No Change

$24.8K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?

64%

Increase

$3.2K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

57%

Labour

$44 Vol.

$508 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

39%

50-54

$480 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Papua New Guinea Women vs Bangladesh Women - Team Top Batter

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Papua New Guinea Women vs Bangladesh Women - Team Top Batter

-

$76 Vol.

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

45%

New Zealand First Party

$1.5K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

38%

30-34

$145 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

66%

National Party

$166 Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs New Zealand Under-19s - Team Top Batter

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs New Zealand Under-19s - Team Top Batter

-

$91 Vol.

International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 1) - Team Top Batter

International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 1) - Team Top Batter

-

$184 Vol.

International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 4) - Team Top Batter

International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 4) - Team Top Batter

-

$949 Vol.

International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 3) - Team Top Batter

International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 3) - Team Top Batter

-

$876 Vol.

New Zealand legislative election winner?

New Zealand legislative election winner?

64%

Labour Party

$2.7K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

U19 World Cup: Zimbabwe Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s - Team Top Batter

U19 World Cup: Zimbabwe Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s - Team Top Batter

-

$61 Vol.

$0 Liq.

International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2) - Team Top Batter

International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2) - Team Top Batter

-

$187 Vol.

IR Iran vs. New Zealand

IR Iran vs. New Zealand

56%

IR Iran

$1.2K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

42%

National 10%+

$0 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 1) - Most Sixes

International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 1) - Most Sixes

-

$248 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like RBNZ.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for RBNZ that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Prime Minister of Italy?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $543K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to Matthew Schaefer. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on RBNZ predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.