Global Elections Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarke...

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$574m Vol.

$6m today

$23m Liq.

457

Ends in almost 3 years

34%

Gavin Newsom

$574m Vol.

$6m today

$23m Liq.

457

Ends in almost 3 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Global Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$234m Vol.

$5m today

$18m Liq.

603

Ends in almost 3 years

27%

JD Vance

$234m Vol.

$5m today

$18m Liq.

603

Ends in almost 3 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Global Elections

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$229m Vol.

$4m today

$11m Liq.

228

Ends in almost 3 years

50%

J.D. Vance

$229m Vol.

$4m today

$11m Liq.

228

Ends in almost 3 years

Portugal Presidential Election

Global Elections

Portugal Presidential Election

$127m Vol.

$517k today

$9m Liq.

1,606

Ends in 8 days

99%

António José Seguro (IND)

$127m Vol.

$517k today

$9m Liq.

1,606

Ends in 8 days

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Global Elections

Costa Rica Presidential Election

$2m Vol.

$287k today

$381k Liq.

98

Ends in about 17 hours

91%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

$2m Vol.

$287k today

$381k Liq.

98

Ends in about 17 hours

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

Global Elections

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

$3m Vol.

$242k today

$224k Liq.

70

Ends in 8 days

64%

People’s Party (PPLE)

$3m Vol.

$242k today

$224k Liq.

70

Ends in 8 days

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

Global Elections

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

$31m Vol.

$225k today

$1m Liq.

320

Ends in 9 months

98%

VVD + CDA + D66

$31m Vol.

$225k today

$1m Liq.

320

Ends in 9 months

Next French Presidential Election

Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

$4m Vol.

$179k today

$1m Liq.

214

Ends in about 1 year

26%

Jordan Bardella

$4m Vol.

$179k today

$1m Liq.

214

Ends in about 1 year

Brazil Presidential Election

Global Elections

Brazil Presidential Election

$15m Vol.

$153k today

$764k Liq.

1,890

Ends in 8 months

53%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$15m Vol.

$153k today

$764k Liq.

1,890

Ends in 8 months

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

Global Elections

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

$611k Vol.

$102k today

$199k Liq.

6

Ends in 8 days

45%

Seguro 30-40%

$611k Vol.

$102k today

$199k Liq.

6

Ends in 8 days

Next President of Vietnam

Global Elections

Next President of Vietnam

$4m Vol.

$100k today

$324k Liq.

163

93%

Tô Lâm

$4m Vol.

$100k today

$324k Liq.

163

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

$6m Vol.

$92.8k today

$386k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

52%

Péter Magyar

$6m Vol.

$92.8k today

$386k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

Global Elections

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

$953k Vol.

$63.2k today

$196k Liq.

10

Ends in 8 days

96%

Sanae Takaichi

$953k Vol.

$63.2k today

$196k Liq.

10

Ends in 8 days

Colombia Presidential Election

Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

$3m Vol.

$263k Liq.

169

Ends in 5 months

38%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$3m Vol.

$263k Liq.

169

Ends in 5 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Global Elections

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$2m Vol.

$276k Liq.

77

Ends in 9 months

44%

R Senate, D House

$2m Vol.

$276k Liq.

77

Ends in 9 months

Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands

Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands

$9m Vol.

$567k Liq.

229

99%

Rob Jetten

$9m Vol.

$567k Liq.

229

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Global Elections

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

$701k Vol.

$162k Liq.

7

Ends in 4 months

58%

Chong Won-oh

$701k Vol.

$162k Liq.

7

Ends in 4 months

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Global Elections

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

$1m Vol.

$222k Liq.

71

Ends in 8 months

71%

United Russia (ER)

$1m Vol.

$222k Liq.

71

Ends in 8 months

Japan General Election Winner?

Global Elections

Japan General Election Winner?

$565k Vol.

$339k Liq.

6

Ends in 8 days

99%

LDP

$565k Vol.

$339k Liq.

6

Ends in 8 days

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Global Elections

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

$56.7k Vol.

$18.1k Liq.

31

Ends in 8 days

82%

$56.7k Vol.

$18.1k Liq.

31

Ends in 8 days

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