Global Elections Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarke...

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$591m Vol.

$6m today

$26m Liq.

468

Ends in almost 3 years

33%

Gavin Newsom

$591m Vol.

$6m today

$26m Liq.

468

Ends in almost 3 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Global Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$249m Vol.

$4m today

$16m Liq.

619

Ends in almost 3 years

25%

JD Vance

$249m Vol.

$4m today

$16m Liq.

619

Ends in almost 3 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Global Elections

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$242m Vol.

$4m today

$13m Liq.

232

Ends in almost 3 years

50%

J.D. Vance

$242m Vol.

$4m today

$13m Liq.

232

Ends in almost 3 years

Portugal Presidential Election

Global Elections

Portugal Presidential Election

$128m Vol.

$674k today

$12m Liq.

1,615

Ends in 5 days

99%

António José Seguro (IND)

$128m Vol.

$674k today

$12m Liq.

1,615

Ends in 5 days

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

Global Elections

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

$4m Vol.

$290k today

$254k Liq.

112

Ends in 5 days

69%

People’s Party (PPLE)

$4m Vol.

$290k today

$254k Liq.

112

Ends in 5 days

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

Global Elections

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

$32m Vol.

$208k today

$1m Liq.

323

Ends in 9 months

98%

VVD + CDA + D66

$32m Vol.

$208k today

$1m Liq.

323

Ends in 9 months

Brazil Presidential Election

Global Elections

Brazil Presidential Election

$15m Vol.

$199k today

$784k Liq.

1,944

Ends in 8 months

52%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$15m Vol.

$199k today

$784k Liq.

1,944

Ends in 8 months

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

Global Elections

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

$1m Vol.

$186k today

$326k Liq.

15

Ends in 5 days

99%

Sanae Takaichi

$1m Vol.

$186k today

$326k Liq.

15

Ends in 5 days

Next French Presidential Election

Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

$4m Vol.

$184k today

$1m Liq.

218

Ends in about 1 year

29%

Jordan Bardella

$4m Vol.

$184k today

$1m Liq.

218

Ends in about 1 year

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Global Elections

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

$1m Vol.

$141k today

$244k Liq.

74

Ends in 8 months

70%

United Russia (ER)

$1m Vol.

$141k today

$244k Liq.

74

Ends in 8 months

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

Global Elections

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

$921k Vol.

$108k today

$149k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 days

49%

Seguro 30-40%

$921k Vol.

$108k today

$149k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 days

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

$6m Vol.

$93.4k today

$405k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

53%

Péter Magyar

$6m Vol.

$93.4k today

$405k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Japan General Election Winner?

Global Elections

Japan General Election Winner?

$741k Vol.

$90.3k today

$272k Liq.

7

Ends in 5 days

99%

LDP

$741k Vol.

$90.3k today

$272k Liq.

7

Ends in 5 days

Turnout in 2026 Costa Rica Presidential Election First Round

Global Elections

Turnout in 2026 Costa Rica Presidential Election First Round

$213k Vol.

$79.4k today

$21.9k Liq.

20

99%

68-70%

$213k Vol.

$79.4k today

$21.9k Liq.

20

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

$2m Vol.

$52.5k today

$109k Liq.

24

89%

Lê Minh Hưng

$2m Vol.

$52.5k today

$109k Liq.

24

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Global Elections

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

$132k Vol.

$16.1k Liq.

45

Ends in 5 days

82%

$132k Vol.

$16.1k Liq.

45

Ends in 5 days

Gorton and Denton by-election Winner

Global Elections

Gorton and Denton by-election Winner

$102k Vol.

$53.5k Liq.

6

Ends in 23 days

44%

Hannah Spencer - Green Party

$102k Vol.

$53.5k Liq.

6

Ends in 23 days

Next President of Vietnam

Global Elections

Next President of Vietnam

$5m Vol.

$300k Liq.

173

92%

Tô Lâm

$5m Vol.

$300k Liq.

173

Colombia Senate Election Winner

Global Elections

Colombia Senate Election Winner

$308k Vol.

$103k Liq.

6

Ends in about 1 month

86%

Pacto Histórico (PH)

$308k Vol.

$103k Liq.

6

Ends in about 1 month

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Global Elections

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$2m Vol.

$503k Liq.

Ends in 9 months

83%

Democratic Party

$2m Vol.

$503k Liq.

Ends in 9 months

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