Global Elections Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarke...

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$581m Vol.

$7m today

$27m Liq.

463

Ends in almost 3 years

34%

Gavin Newsom

$581m Vol.

$7m today

$27m Liq.

463

Ends in almost 3 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Global Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$241m Vol.

$5m today

$18m Liq.

612

Ends in almost 3 years

26%

JD Vance

$241m Vol.

$5m today

$18m Liq.

612

Ends in almost 3 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Global Elections

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$235m Vol.

$5m today

$12m Liq.

231

Ends in almost 3 years

50%

J.D. Vance

$235m Vol.

$5m today

$12m Liq.

231

Ends in almost 3 years

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Global Elections

Costa Rica Presidential Election

$3m Vol.

$604k today

$284k Liq.

111

94%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

$3m Vol.

$604k today

$284k Liq.

111

Portugal Presidential Election

Global Elections

Portugal Presidential Election

$127m Vol.

$234k today

$9m Liq.

1,609

Ends in 7 days

99%

António José Seguro (IND)

$127m Vol.

$234k today

$9m Liq.

1,609

Ends in 7 days

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

Global Elections

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

$4m Vol.

$234k today

$200k Liq.

79

Ends in 6 days

62%

People’s Party (PPLE)

$4m Vol.

$234k today

$200k Liq.

79

Ends in 6 days

Brazil Presidential Election

Global Elections

Brazil Presidential Election

$15m Vol.

$191k today

$751k Liq.

1,913

Ends in 8 months

52%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$15m Vol.

$191k today

$751k Liq.

1,913

Ends in 8 months

Next French Presidential Election

Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

$4m Vol.

$184k today

$1m Liq.

219

Ends in about 1 year

26%

Jordan Bardella

$4m Vol.

$184k today

$1m Liq.

219

Ends in about 1 year

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

Global Elections

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

$31m Vol.

$166k today

$1m Liq.

323

Ends in 9 months

97%

VVD + CDA + D66

$31m Vol.

$166k today

$1m Liq.

323

Ends in 9 months

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

$6m Vol.

$164k today

$453k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

53%

Péter Magyar

$6m Vol.

$164k today

$453k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

Global Elections

Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

$745k Vol.

$125k today

$222k Liq.

6

Ends in 6 days

48%

Seguro 30-40%

$745k Vol.

$125k today

$222k Liq.

6

Ends in 6 days

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

$1m Vol.

$87.9k today

$106k Liq.

24

87%

Lê Minh Hưng

$1m Vol.

$87.9k today

$106k Liq.

24

Next President of Vietnam

Global Elections

Next President of Vietnam

$4m Vol.

$69.5k today

$320k Liq.

168

94%

Tô Lâm

$4m Vol.

$69.5k today

$320k Liq.

168

Costa Rica Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Global Elections

Costa Rica Legislative Assembly Election Winner

$1m Vol.

$54.6k today

$256k Liq.

5

98%

PPSO

$1m Vol.

$54.6k today

$256k Liq.

5

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

Global Elections

Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?

$1m Vol.

$51.1k today

$217k Liq.

15

Ends in 6 days

98%

Sanae Takaichi

$1m Vol.

$51.1k today

$217k Liq.

15

Ends in 6 days

Colombia Presidential Election

Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

$3m Vol.

$262k Liq.

173

Ends in 5 months

40%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$3m Vol.

$262k Liq.

173

Ends in 5 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Global Elections

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$2m Vol.

$280k Liq.

77

Ends in 9 months

44%

R Senate, D House

$2m Vol.

$280k Liq.

77

Ends in 9 months

Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner

Global Elections

Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Winner

$465k Vol.

$155k Liq.

48

Ends in 10 days

88%

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)

$465k Vol.

$155k Liq.

48

Ends in 10 days

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Global Elections

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

$430k Vol.

$140k Liq.

36

Ends in 3 months

60%

TISZA

$430k Vol.

$140k Liq.

36

Ends in 3 months

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Global Elections

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

$739k Vol.

$179k Liq.

7

Ends in 4 months

57%

Chong Won-oh

$739k Vol.

$179k Liq.

7

Ends in 4 months

Sort by

Event Status