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California predictions & odds

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California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

55%

Xavier Becerra

$21M Vol.

$621K today

$3M Liq.

55

Ends in 6 months

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

79%

Steve Hilton

$622K Vol.

$263K Liq.

5

Ends in 21 days

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

37%

$3M Vol.

$74.6K Liq.

17

Ends in 6 months

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

45%

Xavier Becerra

$25.3K Vol.

$94.4K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

75%

Dem-Rep

$70.8K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 21 days

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

91%

$129K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

39%

$8.1K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

6%

$460 Vol.

$221 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers (W)

California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers (W)

California Baptist Lancers

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

9%

$101K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

<1%

Street

$113K Vol.

$74.9K today

$292K Liq.

31

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

98%

California

$218K Vol.

$137K Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

97%

New Jersey

$249K Vol.

$32.1K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

CA-03 Primary Winners

CA-03 Primary Winners

95%

Ami Bera

$4.4K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

CA-13 Primary Winners

CA-13 Primary Winners

93%

Adam Gray

$2.5K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

CA-04 Primary Winners

CA-04 Primary Winners

98%

Mike Thompson

$29.5K Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

CA-45 Primary Winners

CA-45 Primary Winners

95%

Derek Tran

$5.7K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

92%

Scott Wiener

$355K Vol.

$48.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 21 days

CA-06 Primary Winners

CA-06 Primary Winners

83%

Kevin Kiley

$3.4K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

CA-34 Primary Winners

CA-34 Primary Winners

77%

Angela Gonzales-Torres

$6.3K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like California.

Polymarket currently hosts 119 active markets for California that lets you track or trade on predictions like “California Governor Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $25.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “California Governor Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “California Governor Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 55% chance to Xavier Becerra. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on California predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.