Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

42%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$41M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

3,876

Ends in 6 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

64%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$3M Vol.

$185K Liq.

13

Ends in 6 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

38%

Lula da Silva <5%

$209K Vol.

$122K Liq.

8

Ends in 6 months

Who will Trump name in April?

Who will Trump name in April?

96%

Kamala

$5.3K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 25 days

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

85%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$238K Vol.

$92.7K Liq.

95

Ends in 6 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

36%

Renan Santos

$169K Vol.

$148K Liq.

21

Ends in 6 months

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

94%

Xi Jinping

$297K Vol.

$142K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

15%

$48.6K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

22

Ends in 6 months

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

78%

PL

$247K Vol.

$69.4K Liq.

6

Ends in 6 months

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

18%

$17.4K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

10

Ends in 9 months

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

77%

PL

$6.4K Vol.

$24.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

15%

$56.2K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

25

Ends in 9 months

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

22%

April 30

$54.0K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

18

Ends in 25 days

What will JD Vance say during bilateral events with Orbán?

What will JD Vance say during bilateral events with Orbán?

92%

EU / European Union

$2.8K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

Red Bull Bragantino vs. Clube do Remo

Red Bull Bragantino vs. Clube do Remo

51%

Draw (Red Bull Bragantino vs. Clube do Remo)

$0 Vol.

$50 Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Coritiba FBC vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets

Coritiba FBC vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets

-

$17.2K Vol.

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

56%

$14.0K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

84%

Decrease

$205K Vol.

$59.0K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Ted Cruz # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

35%

80-99

$3.8K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

18%

$80.0K Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

13

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Bolsonaro.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for Bolsonaro that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Brazil Presidential Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $45.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 42% chance to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Bolsonaro predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.