Recent polling from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas in April and May 2026 shows Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent governor Elmano de Freitas (PT) by double digits in first-round voting intentions for the October 4 election, with Ciro at 41-47 percent. This positioning reflects Ciro’s prior term as Ceará governor from 1991 to 1994, high statewide name recognition, and appeal among centrist and center-right voters amid ongoing concerns over public security and economic development. Elmano’s reelection bid has faced headwinds from these surveys despite his Workers’ Party base. Ciro’s recent confirmation of his pre-candidacy for governor rather than a presidential run has further consolidated trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the first-round vote and possible October 25 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 71%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Camilo Santana 4.8%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$55,922 Vol.
$55,922 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Ciro Gomes
71%
Elmano de Freitas
28%
Camilo Santana
5%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 71%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Camilo Santana 4.8%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$55,922 Vol.
$55,922 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Ciro Gomes
$36,651 Vol.
71%
Elmano de Freitas
$6,400 Vol.
28%
Camilo Santana
$3,315 Vol.
5%
Capitão Wagner
$4,364 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Girão
$3,182 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$2,010 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas in April and May 2026 shows Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent governor Elmano de Freitas (PT) by double digits in first-round voting intentions for the October 4 election, with Ciro at 41-47 percent. This positioning reflects Ciro’s prior term as Ceará governor from 1991 to 1994, high statewide name recognition, and appeal among centrist and center-right voters amid ongoing concerns over public security and economic development. Elmano’s reelection bid has faced headwinds from these surveys despite his Workers’ Party base. Ciro’s recent confirmation of his pre-candidacy for governor rather than a presidential run has further consolidated trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the first-round vote and possible October 25 runoff.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volumen
$55,922Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas in April and May 2026 shows Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent governor Elmano de Freitas (PT) by double digits in first-round voting intentions for the October 4 election, with Ciro at 41-47 percent. This positioning reflects Ciro’s prior term as Ceará governor from 1991 to 1994, high statewide name recognition, and appeal among centrist and center-right voters amid ongoing concerns over public security and economic development. Elmano’s reelection bid has faced headwinds from these surveys despite his Workers’ Party base. Ciro’s recent confirmation of his pre-candidacy for governor rather than a presidential run has further consolidated trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the first-round vote and possible October 25 runoff.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$55,922Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas in April and May 2026 shows Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent governor Elmano de Freitas (PT) by double digits in first-round voting intentions for the October 4 election, with Ciro at 41-47 percent. This positioning reflects Ciro’s prior term as Ceará governor from 1991 to 1994, high statewide name recognition, and appeal among centrist and center-right voters amid ongoing concerns over public security and economic development. Elmano’s reelection bid has faced headwinds from these surveys despite his Workers’ Party base. Ciro’s recent confirmation of his pre-candidacy for governor rather than a presidential run has further consolidated trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the first-round vote and possible October 25 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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