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World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Market icon
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson 59%

Ulf Kristersson 33%

Jimmie Åkesson 5.4%

Ebba Busch 1.9%

Polymarket

$1,672,529 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 59%

Ulf Kristersson 33%

Jimmie Åkesson 5.4%

Ebba Busch 1.9%

Polymarket

$1,672,529 Vol.

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Magdalena Andersson

$41,570 Vol.

59%

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Ulf Kristersson

$33,676 Vol.

33%

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Jimmie Åkesson

$1,271,148 Vol.

5%

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Ebba Busch

$261,293 Vol.

2%

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Amanda Lind

$9,824 Vol.

<1%

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Nooshi Dadgostar

$9,257 Vol.

<1%

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Anna-Karin Hatt

$9,857 Vol.

<1%

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Simona Mohamsson

$14,536 Vol.

<1%

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Daniel Helldén

$10,235 Vol.

<1%

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Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$11,131 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors former Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister after the September 13, 2026, general election, driven by consistent opinion polls showing Social Democrats (S) leading at 32-33%—ahead of Moderates (M, Ulf Kristersson's party) at 17-18% and Sweden Democrats (SD, Jimmie Åkesson) at 20-21%. The Red-Green bloc (S, Left Party, Greens) holds a narrow edge over the Tidö parties (M, Christian Democrats, Liberals with SD support), with centre-left coalitions projected at potential majority in recent Ipsos and Demoskop surveys from mid-to-late March. Incumbent Kristersson trails at 33% amid stable voter sentiment, while Åkesson's 5.4% reflects SD strength but historical reluctance for far-right leadership. Liberals' March 13 "Sweden Promise" pact with SD to ease future cooperation faced internal backlash but has not shifted polls, underscoring coalition negotiations as key post-election risks under proportional representation.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors former Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister after the September 13, 2026, general election, driven by consistent opinion polls showing Social Democrats (S) leading at 32-33%—ahead of Moderates (M, Ulf Kristersson's party) at 17-18% and Sweden Democrats (SD, Jimmie Åkesson) at 20-21%. The Red-Green bloc (S, Left Party, Greens) holds a narrow edge over the Tidö parties (M, Christian Democrats, Liberals with SD support), with centre-left coalitions projected at potential majority in recent Ipsos and Demoskop surveys from mid-to-late March. Incumbent Kristersson trails at 33% amid stable voter sentiment, while Åkesson's 5.4% reflects SD strength but historical reluctance for far-right leadership. Liberals' March 13 "Sweden Promise" pact with SD to ease future cooperation faced internal backlash but has not shifted polls, underscoring coalition negotiations as key post-election risks under proportional representation.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors former Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister after the September 13, 2026, general election, driven by consistent opinion polls showing Social Democrats (S) leading at 32-33%—ahead of Moderates (M, Ulf Kristersson's party) at 17-18% and Sweden Democrats (SD, Jimmie Åkesson) at 20-21%. The Red-Green bloc (S, Left Party, Greens) holds a narrow edge over the Tidö parties (M, Christian Democrats, Liberals with SD support), with centre-left coalitions projected at potential majority in recent Ipsos and Demoskop surveys from mid-to-late March. Incumbent Kristersson trails at 33% amid stable voter sentiment, while Åkesson's 5.4% reflects SD strength but historical reluctance for far-right leadership. Liberals' March 13 "Sweden Promise" pact with SD to ease future cooperation faced internal backlash but has not shifted polls, underscoring coalition negotiations as key post-election risks under proportional representation.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors former Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister after the September 13, 2026, general election, driven by consistent opinion polls showing Social Democrats (S) leading at 32-33%—ahead of Moderates (M, Ulf Kristersson's party) at 17-18% and Sweden Democrats (SD, Jimmie Åkesson) at 20-21%. The Red-Green bloc (S, Left Party, Greens) holds a narrow edge over the Tidö parties (M, Christian Democrats, Liberals with SD support), with centre-left coalitions projected at potential majority in recent Ipsos and Demoskop surveys from mid-to-late March. Incumbent Kristersson trails at 33% amid stable voter sentiment, while Åkesson's 5.4% reflects SD strength but historical reluctance for far-right leadership. Liberals' March 13 "Sweden Promise" pact with SD to ease future cooperation faced internal backlash but has not shifted polls, underscoring coalition negotiations as key post-election risks under proportional representation.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Sweden" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Magdalena Andersson" at 59%, followed by "Ulf Kristersson" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Sweden," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" is "Magdalena Andersson" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ulf Kristersson" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.