Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

Name: Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?
Start: 2026-03-27T16:25:50.969Z
End: 2026-04-19T00:00:00.000Z

Politics·Bulgaria

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

NEW

Apr 19, 2026

BSP

$0 Vol.

77%

ITN

$0 Vol.

76%

MECh

$0 Vol.

75%

Velichie

$0 Vol.

74%

APS

$0 Vol.

43%

$0.00 Vol.

BSP

$0 Vol.

77%

ITN

$0 Vol.

76%

MECh

$0 Vol.

75%

Velichie

$0 Vol.

74%

APS

$0 Vol.

43%

Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election in five years on April 19, 2026, triggered by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation and failed mandates to form a coalition, perpetuating political deadlock. Recent mid-March polls from Market Links, Alpha Research, and Trend show former President Rumen Radev's newly registered Progressive Bulgaria alliance leading at 29-31%, followed by GERB-SDS at 20-22%, PP-DB at 12-13%, DPS at 10%, and Revival (V-ESN) at 7-8%, all above the 4% national threshold for proportional representation entry into the 240-seat National Assembly. BSP lingers near 4%, while others like ITN trail; official campaigning started March 20 amid expected high turnout, with final surveys and voter shifts key to borderline parties' fates before post-election coalition negotiations.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 28, 2026, 1:53 AM UTC

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

89%

Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

38%

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 85-89 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

33%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "BSP" at 77%, followed by "ITN" at 76%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" is "BSP" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ITN" at 76%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 77¢ for "BSP" in the "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 77% chance that "BSP" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 77¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 23¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 19, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Related

Comments

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"?

What are the current odds for "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"?

How will "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"?

What does a price of 77¢ for "BSP" mean?

When does the "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"?

What is Polymarket?