President Trump's communication patterns, primarily via Truth Social and occasional speeches, drive trader sentiment for statements during the week starting April 5, amid low confirmed public schedule details like rallies or press conferences. Recent posts on March 26 warned Iran against closing the Strait of Hormuz, threatening retaliation "twenty times harder," while noting "very good and productive" talks, reflecting heightened Middle East tensions influencing phrasing on escalation, ceasefires, or diplomacy. A March 26 Cabinet meeting and March 25 National Republican Congressional Committee dinner addressed legislative priorities such as filibusters and policy agendas. With Easter on April 4 and April Fools' Day earlier, holiday references remain possible, but absent major events, traders weigh historical rhetoric on foreign adversaries, tariffs, and domestic divides.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNEW
Apr 5, 2026
Sunday
70%
Jerusalem
45%
Gay
35%
Epic Fury
69%
Kuwait
67%
Congo
55%
April Fool
55%
Mad
49%
Filibuster
57%
Knock-out Panel
44%
Unlimited Ammunition
47%
Delcy / Rodriguez
47%
Eight Boats / Eight Ships
50%
Hot as a pistol
26%
Dark cloud
46%
Divider
60%
Mine dropper
61%
Plastic Egg
49%
Caravan
31%
UFC
44%
Hamas / Hezbollah
34%
Khamenei / Khomeini
49%
$650 Vol.
Sunday
$58 Vol.
70%
Jerusalem
$0 Vol.
45%
Gay
$188 Vol.
35%
Epic Fury
$9 Vol.
69%
Kuwait
$0 Vol.
67%
Congo
$0 Vol.
55%
April Fool
$208 Vol.
55%
Mad
$0 Vol.
49%
Filibuster
$2 Vol.
57%
Knock-out Panel
$0 Vol.
44%
Unlimited Ammunition
$60 Vol.
47%
Delcy / Rodriguez
$0 Vol.
47%
Eight Boats / Eight Ships
$48 Vol.
50%
Hot as a pistol
$0 Vol.
26%
Dark cloud
$0 Vol.
46%
Divider
$0 Vol.
60%
Mine dropper
$0 Vol.
61%
Plastic Egg
$58 Vol.
49%
Caravan
$4 Vol.
31%
UFC
$0 Vol.
44%
Hamas / Hezbollah
$1 Vol.
34%
Khamenei / Khomeini
$13 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's communication patterns, primarily via Truth Social and occasional speeches, drive trader sentiment for statements during the week starting April 5, amid low confirmed public schedule details like rallies or press conferences. Recent posts on March 26 warned Iran against closing the Strait of Hormuz, threatening retaliation "twenty times harder," while noting "very good and productive" talks, reflecting heightened Middle East tensions influencing phrasing on escalation, ceasefires, or diplomacy. A March 26 Cabinet meeting and March 25 National Republican Congressional Committee dinner addressed legislative priorities such as filibusters and policy agendas. With Easter on April 4 and April Fools' Day earlier, holiday references remain possible, but absent major events, traders weigh historical rhetoric on foreign adversaries, tariffs, and domestic divides.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Volume
$650End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's communication patterns, primarily via Truth Social and occasional speeches, drive trader sentiment for statements during the week starting April 5, amid low confirmed public schedule details like rallies or press conferences. Recent posts on March 26 warned Iran against closing the Strait of Hormuz, threatening retaliation "twenty times harder," while noting "very good and productive" talks, reflecting heightened Middle East tensions influencing phrasing on escalation, ceasefires, or diplomacy. A March 26 Cabinet meeting and March 25 National Republican Congressional Committee dinner addressed legislative priorities such as filibusters and policy agendas. With Easter on April 4 and April Fools' Day earlier, holiday references remain possible, but absent major events, traders weigh historical rhetoric on foreign adversaries, tariffs, and domestic divides.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$650End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's communication patterns, primarily via Truth Social and occasional speeches, drive trader sentiment for statements during the week starting April 5, amid low confirmed public schedule details like rallies or press conferences. Recent posts on March 26 warned Iran against closing the Strait of Hormuz, threatening retaliation "twenty times harder," while noting "very good and productive" talks, reflecting heightened Middle East tensions influencing phrasing on escalation, ceasefires, or diplomacy. A March 26 Cabinet meeting and March 25 National Republican Congressional Committee dinner addressed legislative priorities such as filibusters and policy agendas. With Easter on April 4 and April Fools' Day earlier, holiday references remain possible, but absent major events, traders weigh historical rhetoric on foreign adversaries, tariffs, and domestic divides.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions