Number of TSA Passengers April 1?

Name: Number of TSA Passengers April 1?
Start: 2026-03-27T21:32:26.856Z
End: 2026-04-01T00:00:00.000Z

Politics·TSA

Number of TSA Passengers April 1?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

2.4M-2.6M 50%

2.6M-2.8M <1%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

3.0M-3.2M <1%

NEW

Apr 1, 2026

<2.4M

$2 Vol.

50%

2.4M-2.6M

$0 Vol.

50%

2.6M-2.8M

$66 Vol.

2.8M-3.0M

$73 Vol.

3.0M-3.2M

$68 Vol.

>3.2M

$208 Vol.

2.4M-2.6M 50%

2.6M-2.8M <1%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

3.0M-3.2M <1%

NEW

Apr 1, 2026

<2.4M

$2 Vol.

50%

2.4M-2.6M

$0 Vol.

50%

2.6M-2.8M

$66 Vol.

2.8M-3.0M

$73 Vol.

3.0M-3.2M

$68 Vol.

>3.2M

$208 Vol.

Trader consensus on April 1 TSA checkpoint passenger screenings remains deadlocked between under 2.4 million (50%) and 2.4-2.6 million (49.5%), reflecting volatile recent volumes driven by peak spring break demand offset by a prolonged DHS funding lapse. Daily screenings dipped to 2.19 million on March 24 amid 40-50% TSA officer absences and 450+ resignations, but rebounded to 2.72 million on March 26 as ICE agents assisted at major airports. President Trump's March 27 executive directive for backpay could improve staffing and lines by early next week, potentially lifting volumes toward the record 2.8 million daily spring average; however, severe weather forecasts or persistent callouts ahead of Easter Sunday (April 5) risk suppressing turnout below 2.4 million.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 28, 2026, 1:39 AM UTC

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?

25%

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?

37%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

27%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of TSA Passengers April 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<2.4M" at 50%, followed by "2.4M-2.6M" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of TSA Passengers April 1?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?" is "<2.4M" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2.4M-2.6M" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Number of TSA Passengers April 1?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 50¢ for "<2.4M" in the "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 50% chance that "<2.4M" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 50¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 50¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 1, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?" market has an active community of 76 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Number of TSA Passengers April 1?

Number of TSA Passengers April 1?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Related

Comments (76)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?"?

What are the current odds for "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?"?

How will "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?"?

What does a price of 50¢ for "<2.4M" mean?

When does the "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Number of TSA Passengers April 1?"?

What is Polymarket?