Severe winter weather disrupting operations across the Midwest, Denver, and Northeast has driven over 400 US flight cancellations on March 27 so far, primarily from Southwest Airlines suspending hundreds of flights at its snow-bound Denver hub amid blizzard warnings. Real-time trackers like FlightAware show totals hovering near the 450 threshold as of evening ET, fueling trader consensus at 52% for "Yes" in this closely contested market. Escalating storm intensity or FAA ground stops could surge numbers past the line, while improving visibility, de-icing progress, and schedule recoveries might cap them below, with final midnight counts determining resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$50 Vol.
$50 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
$50 Vol.
$50 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Severe winter weather disrupting operations across the Midwest, Denver, and Northeast has driven over 400 US flight cancellations on March 27 so far, primarily from Southwest Airlines suspending hundreds of flights at its snow-bound Denver hub amid blizzard warnings. Real-time trackers like FlightAware show totals hovering near the 450 threshold as of evening ET, fueling trader consensus at 52% for "Yes" in this closely contested market. Escalating storm intensity or FAA ground stops could surge numbers past the line, while improving visibility, de-icing progress, and schedule recoveries might cap them below, with final midnight counts determining resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$50End Date
Mar 27, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Severe winter weather disrupting operations across the Midwest, Denver, and Northeast has driven over 400 US flight cancellations on March 27 so far, primarily from Southwest Airlines suspending hundreds of flights at its snow-bound Denver hub amid blizzard warnings. Real-time trackers like FlightAware show totals hovering near the 450 threshold as of evening ET, fueling trader consensus at 52% for "Yes" in this closely contested market. Escalating storm intensity or FAA ground stops could surge numbers past the line, while improving visibility, de-icing progress, and schedule recoveries might cap them below, with final midnight counts determining resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$50End Date
Mar 27, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x65070BE91...Severe winter weather disrupting operations across the Midwest, Denver, and Northeast has driven over 400 US flight cancellations on March 27 so far, primarily from Southwest Airlines suspending hundreds of flights at its snow-bound Denver hub amid blizzard warnings. Real-time trackers like FlightAware show totals hovering near the 450 threshold as of evening ET, fueling trader consensus at 52% for "Yes" in this closely contested market. Escalating storm intensity or FAA ground stops could surge numbers past the line, while improving visibility, de-icing progress, and schedule recoveries might cap them below, with final midnight counts determining resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions