Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?

Name: Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?
Start: 2026-03-25T21:16:05.869Z
End: 2026-03-26T00:00:00.000Z

Politics·Gov Shutdown

Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?

Mar 26

4,000-4,500 39%

3,500-4,000 30%

3,000-3,500 25%

5,000-5,500 11%

$1,319 Vol.

Mar 26, 2026

<3,000

$108 Vol.

3,000-3,500

$72 Vol.

25%

3,500-4,000

$51 Vol.

39%

4,000-4,500

$49 Vol.

39%

4,500-5,000

$937 Vol.

5,000-5,500

$44 Vol.

11%

5,500-6,000

$30 Vol.

>6,000

$30 Vol.

4,000-4,500 39%

3,500-4,000 30%

3,000-3,500 25%

5,000-5,500 11%

$1,319 Vol.

Mar 26, 2026

<3,000

$108 Vol.

3,000-3,500

$72 Vol.

25%

3,500-4,000

$51 Vol.

39%

4,000-4,500

$49 Vol.

39%

4,500-5,000

$937 Vol.

5,000-5,500

$44 Vol.

11%

5,500-6,000

$30 Vol.

>6,000

$30 Vol.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 26, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Persistent FAA air traffic controller shortages have driven recent ground stops at major hubs like Newark and LaGuardia, contributing to trader consensus clustering delays around 3,500-4,500 for March 26 amid spring break travel peaks. Over the past week, staffing constraints led to cascading delays nationwide, while National Weather Service forecasts predict scattered showers, gusty winds, and potential thunderstorms in the Northeast and South, adding uncertainty without a clear severe event. This keeps top outcomes tightly matched at 39% and 38.5%, as historical spring patterns show high daily variance; a major storm system or further controller absences could push toward 5,000+, while favorable conditions might drop below 3,500. Real-time FlightAware tracking will sharpen odds as the day unfolds.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 26, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3,500-4,000" at 39%, followed by "4,000-4,500" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?" is "3,500-4,000" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4,000-4,500" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 39¢ for "3,500-4,000" in the "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 39% chance that "3,500-4,000" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 39¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 61¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?" market has a growing discussion of 7 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?

Rules

Market Context

Market Context

Comments (7)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

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