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Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

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Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$72,000 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$72,000 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Catherine Cortez Masto

$0 Vol.

26%

Market icon

Mark Warner

$20 Vol.

23%

Market icon

Patty Murray

$11,380 Vol.

19%

Market icon

Mike Lee

$586 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Tim Kaine

$1,795 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Maggie Hassan

$2,580 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Jeanne Shaheen

$649 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Jacky Rosen

$363 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Angus King

$1,272 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Thom Tillis

$3,188 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Susan Collins

$2,506 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Chris Coons

$2,296 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Lisa Murkowski

$2,774 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$14,272 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Ron Johnson

$3,347 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Amy Klobuchar

$3,946 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Rick Scott

$1,863 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Dick Durbin

$5,804 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Rand Paul

$2,396 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$1,589 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Chuck Schumer

$1,751 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Kirsten Gillibrand

$3,282 Vol.

2%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$4,348 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed U.S. senator votes "Yea" on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, during the first roll-call vote on passage in the U.S. Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law. Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution. Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A six-week partial government shutdown affecting DHS agencies like TSA and FEMA persists due to Democratic opposition in the Senate to full funding for immigration enforcement components including ICE and CBP, as seen in repeated cloture failures on H.R.7147. The House passed comprehensive DHS Appropriations Act versions, such as H.R.7744 (221-209 on March 5), along strict party lines multiple times, but Senate amendments passed early March 27—funding most DHS but excluding border security—were swiftly rejected by Speaker Johnson as insufficient. Traders eye imminent House vote by March 31 deadline amid mounting shutdown pressures, including Trump-ordered TSA pay directives, with crossover votes unlikely absent major compromise on enforcement spending.

A six-week partial government shutdown affecting DHS agencies like TSA and FEMA persists due to Democratic opposition in the Senate to full funding for immigration enforcement components including ICE and CBP, as seen in repeated cloture failures on H.R.7147. The House passed comprehensive DHS Appropriations Act versions, such as H.R.7744 (221-209 on March 5), along strict party lines multiple times, but Senate amendments passed early March 27—funding most DHS but excluding border security—were swiftly rejected by Speaker Johnson as insufficient. Traders eye imminent House vote by March 31 deadline amid mounting shutdown pressures, including Trump-ordered TSA pay directives, with crossover votes unlikely absent major compromise on enforcement spending.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed U.S. senator votes "Yea" on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, during the first roll-call vote on passage in the U.S. Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law. Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution. Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A six-week partial government shutdown affecting DHS agencies like TSA and FEMA persists due to Democratic opposition in the Senate to full funding for immigration enforcement components including ICE and CBP, as seen in repeated cloture failures on H.R.7147. The House passed comprehensive DHS Appropriations Act versions, such as H.R.7744 (221-209 on March 5), along strict party lines multiple times, but Senate amendments passed early March 27—funding most DHS but excluding border security—were swiftly rejected by Speaker Johnson as insufficient. Traders eye imminent House vote by March 31 deadline amid mounting shutdown pressures, including Trump-ordered TSA pay directives, with crossover votes unlikely absent major compromise on enforcement spending.

A six-week partial government shutdown affecting DHS agencies like TSA and FEMA persists due to Democratic opposition in the Senate to full funding for immigration enforcement components including ICE and CBP, as seen in repeated cloture failures on H.R.7147. The House passed comprehensive DHS Appropriations Act versions, such as H.R.7744 (221-209 on March 5), along strict party lines multiple times, but Senate amendments passed early March 27—funding most DHS but excluding border security—were swiftly rejected by Speaker Johnson as insufficient. Traders eye imminent House vote by March 31 deadline amid mounting shutdown pressures, including Trump-ordered TSA pay directives, with crossover votes unlikely absent major compromise on enforcement spending.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Catherine Cortez Masto" at 26%, followed by "Mark Warner" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?" has generated $72K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?" is "Catherine Cortez Masto" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mark Warner" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.