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Politics·DHS

When will the DHS shutdown end?

icon for When will the DHS shutdown end?
Politics·DHS

When will the DHS shutdown end?

Ended: Apr 30

Ended: Apr 30

April 29-30 100.0%

Before April 1 <1%

April 1-4 <1%

April 5-8 <1%

Polymarket

$1,431,751 Vol.

April 29-30 100.0%

Before April 1 <1%

April 1-4 <1%

April 5-8 <1%

Polymarket

$1,431,751 Vol.

Before April 1

$39,006 Vol.

No

April 1-4

$60,213 Vol.

No

April 5-8

$101,504 Vol.

No

April 9-12

$38,639 Vol.

No

April 13-16

$68,610 Vol.

No

April 17-20

$431,924 Vol.

No

Arpil 21-24

$68,364 Vol.

No

April 25-28

$54,763 Vol.

No

April 29-30

$142,332 Vol.

Yes

After April 30

$426,395 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The House of Representatives unanimously passed a Senate-approved appropriations bill on April 30, 2026, providing funding for most Department of Homeland Security agencies—including the Transportation Security Administration, Coast Guard, and FEMA—after a record 76-day partial government shutdown triggered by stalled immigration enforcement negotiations since mid-February. This bipartisan action, following weeks of procedural delays and exhausted emergency funds, has prompted traders to price an immediate end to the shutdown at virtually 100% for April 29-30, anticipating swift presidential signature. Scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected veto or signing delay beyond April 30, though historical precedent for such funding measures suggests rapid enactment.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,431,751
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The House of Representatives unanimously passed a Senate-approved appropriations bill on April 30, 2026, providing funding for most Department of Homeland Security agencies—including the Transportation Security Administration, Coast Guard, and FEMA—after a record 76-day partial government shutdown triggered by stalled immigration enforcement negotiations since mid-February. This bipartisan action, following weeks of procedural delays and exhausted emergency funds, has prompted traders to price an immediate end to the shutdown at virtually 100% for April 29-30, anticipating swift presidential signature. Scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected veto or signing delay beyond April 30, though historical precedent for such funding measures suggests rapid enactment.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,431,751
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"When will the DHS shutdown end?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 29-30" at 100%, followed by "Before April 1" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "When will the DHS shutdown end?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "When will the DHS shutdown end?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "When will the DHS shutdown end?" is "April 29-30" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Before April 1" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "When will the DHS shutdown end?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.