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icon for Fed abolished before 2027?
Politics·Jerome Powell

Fed abolished before 2027?

icon for Fed abolished before 2027?
Politics·Jerome Powell

Fed abolished before 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

2% chance
Polymarket
NEW
2% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Federal Reserve's statutory framework, established by Congress in 1913, requires affirmative legislation to abolish the Board of Governors and reserve banks, a threshold unmet by any active bill with momentum as of September 2026. Recent developments center on debates over monetary policy independence, including Federal Open Market Committee rate decisions and Supreme Court rulings on removal protections, rather than elimination proposals. A 2025 Senate bill to repeal the Federal Reserve Act advanced no further than committee referral, reflecting limited congressional support amid concerns over economic disruption from ending the central bank's role in monetary base management and financial stability. Trader consensus at 98.2% for no abolition before 2027 aligns with these structural barriers. Low-probability shifts could stem from an unforeseen fiscal crisis prompting emergency congressional action within the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$8,098
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Federal Reserve's statutory framework, established by Congress in 1913, requires affirmative legislation to abolish the Board of Governors and reserve banks, a threshold unmet by any active bill with momentum as of September 2026. Recent developments center on debates over monetary policy independence, including Federal Open Market Committee rate decisions and Supreme Court rulings on removal protections, rather than elimination proposals. A 2025 Senate bill to repeal the Federal Reserve Act advanced no further than committee referral, reflecting limited congressional support amid concerns over economic disruption from ending the central bank's role in monetary base management and financial stability. Trader consensus at 98.2% for no abolition before 2027 aligns with these structural barriers. Low-probability shifts could stem from an unforeseen fiscal crisis prompting emergency congressional action within the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$8,098
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Fed abolished before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 2% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 2¢, the market collectively assigns a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Fed abolished before 2027?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 5, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Fed abolished before 2027?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Fed abolished before 2027?" is 2% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Fed abolished before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.