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Trump previsões e probabilidades

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What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

94%

Oil Sanction Relief

$3M Vol.

$684K today

$276K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

4%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$241K today

$338K Liq.

95

Ends em 14 dias

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

100%

120-139

$104K Vol.

$52.7K today

$32.2K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 3 horas

Who will Trump speak to in June?

Who will Trump speak to in June?

100%

Ursula von der Leyen

$561K Vol.

$51.2K today

$178K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$8M Vol.

$447K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

What will Trump say during UFC Freedom 250?

What will Trump say during UFC Freedom 250?

9%

Greatest

$54.7K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

8

Ends há 1 dia

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

98%

No meeting by June 30

$9M Vol.

$393K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

6%

$34M Vol.

$217K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

What will Trump say this week? (June 15 - 21)

What will Trump say this week? (June 15 - 21)

100%

Egg

$19.0K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Who will Trump meet with in June?

Who will Trump meet with in June?

64%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$131K Vol.

$54.1K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?

Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?

5%

$17.8K Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

What will Trump say during G7 events?

What will Trump say during G7 events?

97%

Steve / Witkoff

$12.7K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 1 dia

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

10%

$9M Vol.

$420K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

49%

June 30

$37.7K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

26

Ends em 13 dias

What will Trump say this week? (June 8)

What will Trump say this week? (June 8)

30%

CIA

$39.3K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends há 1 dia

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

36%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$881K Vol.

$78.8K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

100%

Keir Starmer

$550K Vol.

$123K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

55%

John Ratcliffe

$1M Vol.

$96.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

29%

June 30

$296K Vol.

$24.3K Liq.

45

Ends em 13 dias

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

94%

June 26

$607K Vol.

$62.2K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Trump.

Polymarket currently hosts 320 active markets for Trump that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $70.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Where will Trump and Putin meet next?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Trump predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.