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Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?

Market icon

Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?

Sim

13% acaso
Polymarket

$649,983 Vol.

Sim

13% acaso
Polymarket

$649,983 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House of Representatives, with a 217-214 majority plus vacancies in the 119th Congress, forms the primary barrier to impeachment articles advancing, as a simple majority vote is required and GOP defections remain unlikely absent a major bipartisan scandal. A Democratic resolution, H.Res. 939, introduced in December 2025 to impeach President Trump for high crimes and misdemeanors related to recent executive actions, was tabled on a 237-140 party-line vote with no further progress. Recent events like U.S. airstrikes on Iran in March and Trump's April 2 dismissal of Attorney General Pam Bondi have fueled criticism and low approval ratings but prompted cautious Democratic responses rather than unified impeachment momentum. Traders see scant path to House passage before the November 2026 midterms, which seat a new Congress in January 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$649,983
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House of Representatives, with a 217-214 majority plus vacancies in the 119th Congress, forms the primary barrier to impeachment articles advancing, as a simple majority vote is required and GOP defections remain unlikely absent a major bipartisan scandal. A Democratic resolution, H.Res. 939, introduced in December 2025 to impeach President Trump for high crimes and misdemeanors related to recent executive actions, was tabled on a 237-140 party-line vote with no further progress. Recent events like U.S. airstrikes on Iran in March and Trump's April 2 dismissal of Attorney General Pam Bondi have fueled criticism and low approval ratings but prompted cautious Democratic responses rather than unified impeachment momentum. Traders see scant path to House passage before the November 2026 midterms, which seat a new Congress in January 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$649,983
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump será impugnado até o final de 2026?" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?" has generated $650K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?" is "Trump será impugnado até o final de 2026?" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump sofrerá impeachment até o final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.