Amid the US-Israel air campaign against Iran that began with widespread strikes on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and leadership, recent deployments of over 4,000 Marines, the 82nd Airborne Division, and additional ground forces to the Middle East—now totaling more than 50,000 US troops in the region—have heightened trader focus on potential escalation. President Trump's April 1 address signaled US forces will "finish the job" soon, amid Pentagon preparations for limited ground operations such as raids on Kharg Island or coastal targets, though no entry into Iranian territory has been confirmed. Upcoming decisions on ground involvement, amid ongoing airstrikes and Iranian retaliation threats, remain pivotal for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAs forças dos EUA entram no Irã por...?
As forças dos EUA entram no Irã por...?
$108,563,793 Vol.
31 mar 2026
31 de março
<1%
30 de abril
87%
31 de dezembro
91%
$108,563,793 Vol.
31 de março
$72,256,178 Vol.
<1%
30 de abril
$24,641,844 Vol.
87%
31 de dezembro
$9,803,447 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.Amid the US-Israel air campaign against Iran that began with widespread strikes on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and leadership, recent deployments of over 4,000 Marines, the 82nd Airborne Division, and additional ground forces to the Middle East—now totaling more than 50,000 US troops in the region—have heightened trader focus on potential escalation. President Trump's April 1 address signaled US forces will "finish the job" soon, amid Pentagon preparations for limited ground operations such as raids on Kharg Island or coastal targets, though no entry into Iranian territory has been confirmed. Upcoming decisions on ground involvement, amid ongoing airstrikes and Iranian retaliation threats, remain pivotal for market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 11, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$108,563,793Mercado Aberto
Jan 11, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Contestado
Resultado proposto: Não
Contestado
Revisão final
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.Amid the US-Israel air campaign against Iran that began with widespread strikes on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and leadership, recent deployments of over 4,000 Marines, the 82nd Airborne Division, and additional ground forces to the Middle East—now totaling more than 50,000 US troops in the region—have heightened trader focus on potential escalation. President Trump's April 1 address signaled US forces will "finish the job" soon, amid Pentagon preparations for limited ground operations such as raids on Kharg Island or coastal targets, though no entry into Iranian territory has been confirmed. Upcoming decisions on ground involvement, amid ongoing airstrikes and Iranian retaliation threats, remain pivotal for market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$108,563,793Mercado Aberto
Jan 11, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Contestado
Resultado proposto: Não
Contestado
Revisão final
Amid the US-Israel air campaign against Iran that began with widespread strikes on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and leadership, recent deployments of over 4,000 Marines, the 82nd Airborne Division, and additional ground forces to the Middle East—now totaling more than 50,000 US troops in the region—have heightened trader focus on potential escalation. President Trump's April 1 address signaled US forces will "finish the job" soon, amid Pentagon preparations for limited ground operations such as raids on Kharg Island or coastal targets, though no entry into Iranian territory has been confirmed. Upcoming decisions on ground involvement, amid ongoing airstrikes and Iranian retaliation threats, remain pivotal for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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