US-Iran hostilities, ignited by US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28 targeting Iranian military and nuclear sites, have featured over 90 US strikes including recent hits on Kharg Island on April 7, alongside reports of special forces ground insertions for downed F-15 pilot rescues. President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire on April 8 to enable diplomacy over Strait of Hormuz access, with Iran accepting amid demands for US withdrawal from the region; however, Tehran's Supreme Leader declared the war ongoing, and Defense Secretary Hegseth affirmed sustained US military presence with readiness for retaliation. Traders weigh ceasefire compliance against escalation risks from violations, ongoing search-and-rescue, or failed talks, with no full-scale ground invasion signaled yet.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAs forças dos EUA entram no Irã por...?
As forças dos EUA entram no Irã por...?
$367,046,745 Vol.
31 de janeiro?
Não
28 de fevereiro
Não
1º de março
Não
3 de março
Não
7 de março
Não
14 de março
Não
31 de março
Não
30 de abril
Sim
31 de dezembro
Sim
$367,046,745 Vol.
31 de janeiro?
$571,796 Vol.
Não
28 de fevereiro
$420,868 Vol.
Não
1º de março
$160,345 Vol.
Não
3 de março
$921,360 Vol.
Não
7 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
14 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
31 de março
$73,927,762 Vol.
Não
30 de abril
$269,049,107 Vol.
Sim
31 de dezembro
$21,995,506 Vol.
Sim
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.US-Iran hostilities, ignited by US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28 targeting Iranian military and nuclear sites, have featured over 90 US strikes including recent hits on Kharg Island on April 7, alongside reports of special forces ground insertions for downed F-15 pilot rescues. President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire on April 8 to enable diplomacy over Strait of Hormuz access, with Iran accepting amid demands for US withdrawal from the region; however, Tehran's Supreme Leader declared the war ongoing, and Defense Secretary Hegseth affirmed sustained US military presence with readiness for retaliation. Traders weigh ceasefire compliance against escalation risks from violations, ongoing search-and-rescue, or failed talks, with no full-scale ground invasion signaled yet.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 11, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$367,046,745Mercado Aberto
Jan 11, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.US-Iran hostilities, ignited by US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28 targeting Iranian military and nuclear sites, have featured over 90 US strikes including recent hits on Kharg Island on April 7, alongside reports of special forces ground insertions for downed F-15 pilot rescues. President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire on April 8 to enable diplomacy over Strait of Hormuz access, with Iran accepting amid demands for US withdrawal from the region; however, Tehran's Supreme Leader declared the war ongoing, and Defense Secretary Hegseth affirmed sustained US military presence with readiness for retaliation. Traders weigh ceasefire compliance against escalation risks from violations, ongoing search-and-rescue, or failed talks, with no full-scale ground invasion signaled yet.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$367,046,745Mercado Aberto
Jan 11, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
US-Iran hostilities, ignited by US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28 targeting Iranian military and nuclear sites, have featured over 90 US strikes including recent hits on Kharg Island on April 7, alongside reports of special forces ground insertions for downed F-15 pilot rescues. President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire on April 8 to enable diplomacy over Strait of Hormuz access, with Iran accepting amid demands for US withdrawal from the region; however, Tehran's Supreme Leader declared the war ongoing, and Defense Secretary Hegseth affirmed sustained US military presence with readiness for retaliation. Traders weigh ceasefire compliance against escalation risks from violations, ongoing search-and-rescue, or failed talks, with no full-scale ground invasion signaled yet.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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