Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

76%

June 30

$11M Vol.

$1M today

$471K Liq.

217

Ends em 3 meses

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$5M Vol.

$244K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$585K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

15

Ends em 9 meses

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

3%

$258K Vol.

$93.3K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

44%

No Meeting by June 30

$503K Vol.

$157K Liq.

9

Ends em 3 meses

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

24%

$965K Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

59

Ends em 3 meses

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

39%

$472K Vol.

$48.1K Liq.

70

Ends em 9 meses

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

71%

December 31

$83M Vol.

$5M today

$3M Liq.

1,418

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

60%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$69.0K today

$69.0K Liq.

Ends há 3 dias

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

24%

$102K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

6

Ends em 3 meses

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

50%

$77.1K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

4

Ends em 3 meses

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

12%

$58.1K Vol.

$26.8K Liq.

4

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

23%

Leadership Change

$30.6K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

5

Ends em 9 meses

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

$104K Vol.

$51.9K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

US forces enter Iran by..?

US forces enter Iran by..?

74%

December 31

$102M Vol.

$20M today

$18M Liq.

6,626

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

13%

$476K Vol.

$85.2K Liq.

28

Ends em 9 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Nothing Ever Happens: April

33%

Nothing

$10.3K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?

10%

April 30

$209K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

91

Ends em 27 dias

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

13%

$32.1K Vol.

$22.9K Liq.

2

Ends em 9 meses

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

8%

April 30

$237K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

10

Ends em 27 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like EUA Irã.

Polymarket currently hosts 145 active markets for EUA Irã that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $206.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US forces enter Iran by..?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US forces enter Iran by..?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 74% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on EUA Irã predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.