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EUA Irã previsões e probabilidades

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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

6%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$75.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$618K Vol.

$51.5K Liq.

16

Ends em 8 meses

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

65%

Pakistan

$4M Vol.

$388K today

$376K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

27%

$253K Vol.

$84.6K today

$40.3K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

48%

$2M Vol.

$99.9K today

$82.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

65%

$969K Vol.

$131K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

19%

$275K Vol.

$73.3K today

$27.6K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

75%

June 30

$13M Vol.

$1M today

$297K Liq.

314

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

73%

December 31

$76M Vol.

$4M today

$682K Liq.

1,568

Ends em 8 meses

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

81%

June 30

$32M Vol.

$1M today

$204K Liq.

5

Ends há 6 dias

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

87%

No Meeting before May 11

$2M Vol.

$62.6K today

$125K Liq.

22

Ends em 4 dias

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

77%

Jared Kushner

$1M Vol.

$119K Liq.

69

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

76%

Iran

$4.0K Vol.

$39.0K Liq.

5

Ends em 9 dias

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

66%

Nothing

$44.0K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

1%

US Confirms Aliens Exist

$230K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

10%

$559K Vol.

$41.7K Liq.

25

Ends em 8 meses

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

39%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$193K Vol.

$89.2K today

$117K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

14%

$75.7K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

54%

June 30

$47.4K Vol.

$61.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

50%

Jared Kushner

$46.3K Vol.

$88.6K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 134 active markets for EUA Irã that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $140.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 73% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on EUA Irã predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.