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EUA Irã previsões e probabilidades

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Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

73%

Switzerland

$11M Vol.

$1M today

$612K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

US-Iran deal text released by...?

US-Iran deal text released by...?

86%

June 30

$4.9K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

99%

December 31

$350M Vol.

$14M today

$3M Liq.

9,701

Ends em 7 meses

US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

100%

June 15

$4M Vol.

$4M today

$2M Liq.

211

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

96%

July 31

$49M Vol.

$781K today

$449K Liq.

6

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

5%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$234K today

$208K Liq.

84

Ends em 15 dias

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

81%

Steve Witkoff

$1M Vol.

$61.7K today

$144K Liq.

76

Ends em 14 dias

US lifts Iran OFAC sanctions by...?

US lifts Iran OFAC sanctions by...?

74%

June 30

$16.9K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

2%

June 13

$59M Vol.

$4M today

$438K Liq.

1,063

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

14%

$151K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

6%

December 31

$8M Vol.

$63.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%

$609K Vol.

$30.3K Liq.

25

Ends em 7 meses

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

14%

December 31

$27M Vol.

$214K today

$396K Liq.

201

Ends em 7 meses

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

13%

$38M Vol.

$202K today

$418K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

50%

$0 Vol.

$33 Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

99%

$1M Vol.

$112K Liq.

72

Ends em 14 dias

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

61%

Abbas Araghchi

$512K Vol.

$265K today

$399K Liq.

21

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

52%

$0 Vol.

$47 Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

85%

June 30

$263K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

4

Ends em 14 dias

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

91%

Oil Sanction Relief

$3M Vol.

$781K today

$210K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

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As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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