President Trump stated in his April 1 national address that U.S. strategic objectives in the ongoing military campaign against Iran—launched with Israel on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missiles, and air defenses—are nearing completion, with forces set to withdraw in two to three weeks regardless of a diplomatic deal. No formal congressional declaration of war has occurred, consistent with post-World War II precedents relying on executive authorizations like the 2001 AUMF amid bipartisan criticism for bypassing Congress. Tensions persist over the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian threats to U.S. interests, but de-escalation signals dominate trader consensus, with intelligence assessing Tehran's reluctance for substantial negotiations. Upcoming diplomatic talks via Pakistan could further reduce escalation risks before any resolution deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoOs EUA declararão oficialmente guerra ao Irã até...?
Os EUA declararão oficialmente guerra ao Irã até...?
$5,157,027 Vol.
30 abr 2026
30 de abril
1%
31 de dezembro
7%
$5,157,027 Vol.
30 de abril
$278,982 Vol.
1%
31 de dezembro
$326,888 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.President Trump stated in his April 1 national address that U.S. strategic objectives in the ongoing military campaign against Iran—launched with Israel on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missiles, and air defenses—are nearing completion, with forces set to withdraw in two to three weeks regardless of a diplomatic deal. No formal congressional declaration of war has occurred, consistent with post-World War II precedents relying on executive authorizations like the 2001 AUMF amid bipartisan criticism for bypassing Congress. Tensions persist over the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian threats to U.S. interests, but de-escalation signals dominate trader consensus, with intelligence assessing Tehran's reluctance for substantial negotiations. Upcoming diplomatic talks via Pakistan could further reduce escalation risks before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$5,157,027Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.President Trump stated in his April 1 national address that U.S. strategic objectives in the ongoing military campaign against Iran—launched with Israel on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missiles, and air defenses—are nearing completion, with forces set to withdraw in two to three weeks regardless of a diplomatic deal. No formal congressional declaration of war has occurred, consistent with post-World War II precedents relying on executive authorizations like the 2001 AUMF amid bipartisan criticism for bypassing Congress. Tensions persist over the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian threats to U.S. interests, but de-escalation signals dominate trader consensus, with intelligence assessing Tehran's reluctance for substantial negotiations. Upcoming diplomatic talks via Pakistan could further reduce escalation risks before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,157,027Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump stated in his April 1 national address that U.S. strategic objectives in the ongoing military campaign against Iran—launched with Israel on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missiles, and air defenses—are nearing completion, with forces set to withdraw in two to three weeks regardless of a diplomatic deal. No formal congressional declaration of war has occurred, consistent with post-World War II precedents relying on executive authorizations like the 2001 AUMF amid bipartisan criticism for bypassing Congress. Tensions persist over the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian threats to U.S. interests, but de-escalation signals dominate trader consensus, with intelligence assessing Tehran's reluctance for substantial negotiations. Upcoming diplomatic talks via Pakistan could further reduce escalation risks before any resolution deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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