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Hezbollah previsões e probabilidades

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Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

4%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$167K today

$139K Liq.

96

Ends há 11 dias

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

16%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

June 30

$62.5K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

8

Ends em 19 dias

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

8%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$568K Vol.

$175K Liq.

15

Ends há 11 dias

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

9%

June 30, 2026

$881K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

46

Ends há 2 meses

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

2%

June 30

$37.3K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

Ends há 11 dias

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

12%

July 31

$2M Vol.

$90.8K Liq.

42

Ends em 19 dias

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

52%

June 30

$118K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

19

Ends há 4 dias

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

65%

June 30

$97.1K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

9

Ends há 4 dias

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

14%

June 30

$21.4K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends há 4 dias

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

6%

June 30

$6.5K Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

85%

June 30

$17.1K Vol.

$36.4K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

5%

$78.6K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

16%

$175K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Yes

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

12%

June 30

$45.3K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

4

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

63%

Team Falcons

$209K Vol.

$148K today

$695K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 9 horas

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

43%

$657 Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Counter-Strike: KAJO vs BoyBand (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: KAJO vs BoyBand (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

100%

BoyBand

$350 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 18 dias

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

12%

$7.9K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hezbollah.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Hezbollah that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Hezbollah disarm by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Hezbollah disarm by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 16% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hezbollah predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.