PolíTica Externa previsões e probabilidades

Geopolitics·China

A China invadirá Taiwan até o final de 2026?

$41M Vol.

$107K today

$438K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

$41M Vol.

$107K today

$438K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Politics·United States

EUA expulsam diplomata brasileiro até 30 de setembro?

$3.0K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

$3.0K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Ucrânia assina acordo de paz com a Rússia antes de 2027?

$3M Vol.

$95.3K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

11%

$3M Vol.

$95.3K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Elections·Denmark

Trump vai adquirir a Groenlândia antes de 2027?

$35M Vol.

$239K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

$35M Vol.

$239K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Iran

Algum país expulsará um embaixador dos EUA até 31 de dezembro?

$33.0K Vol.

$380 Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

20%

$33.0K Vol.

$380 Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·China

Confronto militar China x Taiwan antes de 2027?

$3M Vol.

$85.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

$3M Vol.

$85.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Quais países Donald Trump visitará em 2026?

$646K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

99%

Irlanda

$646K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Israel

Intervenção estrangeira em Gaza por..?

$1M Vol.

$80.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

25%

31 de dezembro

$1M Vol.

$80.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Teste nuclear iraniano antes de 2027?

$257K Vol.

$40.4K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

$257K Vol.

$40.4K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

A Ucrânia concorda em não aderir à OTAN antes de 2027?

$153K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

$153K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Diplomacy

Outro diplomata iraniano expulso por...?

$30.6K Vol.

$458 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

28%

30 de setembro

$30.6K Vol.

$458 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Será que os EUA se retirarão da OTAN até...?

$6M Vol.

$60.3K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

31 de dezembro

$6M Vol.

$60.3K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

O Hamas concordará em desarmar até...?

$4M Vol.

$40.3K Liq.

378

Ends em 4 meses

22%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$4M Vol.

$40.3K Liq.

378

Ends em 4 meses

Politics·Immigration

Trump suspende a entrada dos EUA para mais países por...?

$14.9K Vol.

$424 Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

34%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$14.9K Vol.

$424 Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Contra quantos países diferentes os EUA conduzirão uma ação militar em 2026?

$2M Vol.

$75.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

63%

$2M Vol.

$75.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Artigo 5 da OTAN antes de 2027?

$214K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

$214K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Kim Jong Un

Reunião diplomática EUA x Coreia do Norte por...?

$1.0K Vol.

$280 Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

44%

31 de dezembro

$1.0K Vol.

$280 Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Israel e Arábia Saudita normalizam as relações antes de 2027?

$435K Vol.

$48.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

$435K Vol.

$48.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Eleições na Ucrânia convocadas por...?

$2M Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

10%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$2M Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Iran

Algum país expulsará um embaixador de Israel até 31 de dezembro?

$54.3K Vol.

$492 Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

42%

$54.3K Vol.

$492 Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

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Estado do evento

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PolíTica Externa.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for PolíTica Externa that lets you track or trade on predictions like “A China invadirá Taiwan até o final de 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $99.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump vai adquirir a Groenlândia antes de 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Será que os EUA se retirarão da OTAN até...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “A China invadirá Taiwan até o final de 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PolíTica Externa predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for PolíTica Externa shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Será que os EUA se retirarão da OTAN até...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the PolíTica Externa prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “A China invadirá Taiwan até o final de 2026?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the PolíTica Externa prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

PolíTica Externa previsões e probabilidades

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of PolíTica Externa prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do PolíTica Externa markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top PolíTica Externa prediction?

Why use Polymarket for PolíTica Externa predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s PolíTica Externa odds?

Can I track PolíTica Externa predictions without trading?

How do I get started with PolíTica Externa markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of PolíTica Externa prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do PolíTica Externa markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top PolíTica Externa prediction?

Why use Polymarket for PolíTica Externa predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s PolíTica Externa odds?

Can I track PolíTica Externa predictions without trading?

How do I get started with PolíTica Externa markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

PolíTica Externa previsões e probabilidades