President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland from Denmark, including public statements framing it as strategic for Arctic security amid Russia and China interests, faces insurmountable barriers reflected in the 91.9% "No" trader consensus. Denmark and Greenland leaders have issued repeated, unified rejections, summoning U.S. diplomats over alleged influence operations as recently as August 2025, while a March 2025 visit by Second Lady Usha Vance yielded no progress. Trump's January 2026 Davos pledge against military force or tariffs eliminated coercive options, leaving voluntary negotiations stalled against $700 billion cost estimates, required Greenlandic referendums, and U.S. treaty ratification processes unlikely before 2027. Yesterday's U.S. military request to expand existing bases highlights basing access over outright ownership. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or sovereignty concessions could shift odds, but current impasse dominates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$31,117,118 Vol.
$31,117,118 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$31,117,118 Vol.
$31,117,118 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland from Denmark, including public statements framing it as strategic for Arctic security amid Russia and China interests, faces insurmountable barriers reflected in the 91.9% "No" trader consensus. Denmark and Greenland leaders have issued repeated, unified rejections, summoning U.S. diplomats over alleged influence operations as recently as August 2025, while a March 2025 visit by Second Lady Usha Vance yielded no progress. Trump's January 2026 Davos pledge against military force or tariffs eliminated coercive options, leaving voluntary negotiations stalled against $700 billion cost estimates, required Greenlandic referendums, and U.S. treaty ratification processes unlikely before 2027. Yesterday's U.S. military request to expand existing bases highlights basing access over outright ownership. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or sovereignty concessions could shift odds, but current impasse dominates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$31,117,118Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland from Denmark, including public statements framing it as strategic for Arctic security amid Russia and China interests, faces insurmountable barriers reflected in the 91.9% "No" trader consensus. Denmark and Greenland leaders have issued repeated, unified rejections, summoning U.S. diplomats over alleged influence operations as recently as August 2025, while a March 2025 visit by Second Lady Usha Vance yielded no progress. Trump's January 2026 Davos pledge against military force or tariffs eliminated coercive options, leaving voluntary negotiations stalled against $700 billion cost estimates, required Greenlandic referendums, and U.S. treaty ratification processes unlikely before 2027. Yesterday's U.S. military request to expand existing bases highlights basing access over outright ownership. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or sovereignty concessions could shift odds, but current impasse dominates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$31,117,167Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland from Denmark, including public statements framing it as strategic for Arctic security amid Russia and China interests, faces insurmountable barriers reflected in the 91.9% "No" trader consensus. Denmark and Greenland leaders have issued repeated, unified rejections, summoning U.S. diplomats over alleged influence operations as recently as August 2025, while a March 2025 visit by Second Lady Usha Vance yielded no progress. Trump's January 2026 Davos pledge against military force or tariffs eliminated coercive options, leaving voluntary negotiations stalled against $700 billion cost estimates, required Greenlandic referendums, and U.S. treaty ratification processes unlikely before 2027. Yesterday's U.S. military request to expand existing bases highlights basing access over outright ownership. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or sovereignty concessions could shift odds, but current impasse dominates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions