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Mundo·Eleições Mundiais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Hungria

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Mundo·Eleições Mundiais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Hungria

Péter Magyar 66%

Viktor Orbán 35%

István Kapitány <1%

László Toroczkai <1%

Polymarket

$43,966,197 Vol.

Péter Magyar 66%

Viktor Orbán 35%

István Kapitány <1%

László Toroczkai <1%

Polymarket

$43,966,197 Vol.

Market icon

Péter Magyar

$5,656,469 Vol.

66%

Market icon

Viktor Orbán

$5,503,760 Vol.

35%

Market icon

István Kapitány

$10,179,729 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

László Toroczkai

$12,283,007 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

János Lázár

$5,837,289 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Klára Dobrev

$4,509,458 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, trader consensus favors Péter Magyar at 65.5% to become the next prime minister, driven by recent polls showing his centre-right Tisza party surging ahead of Viktor Orbán's incumbent Fidesz. A March Medián survey indicated Tisza leading 58% to 35% among decided voters—a 23-point gap widened from February—reflecting anti-corruption momentum from Magyar, a former Orbán ally turned challenger, amid economic discontent and Orbán's Ukraine policy. Fidesz holds 34.5% implied probability due to gerrymandered districts, media dominance, and historical supermajority wins, while minor candidates like István Kapitány trail far behind. Final turnout and coalition dynamics could still tip the balance in this closely watched contest.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,966,197
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, trader consensus favors Péter Magyar at 65.5% to become the next prime minister, driven by recent polls showing his centre-right Tisza party surging ahead of Viktor Orbán's incumbent Fidesz. A March Medián survey indicated Tisza leading 58% to 35% among decided voters—a 23-point gap widened from February—reflecting anti-corruption momentum from Magyar, a former Orbán ally turned challenger, amid economic discontent and Orbán's Ukraine policy. Fidesz holds 34.5% implied probability due to gerrymandered districts, media dominance, and historical supermajority wins, while minor candidates like István Kapitány trail far behind. Final turnout and coalition dynamics could still tip the balance in this closely watched contest.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,966,197
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Hungria" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Péter Magyar" at 66%, followed by "Viktor Orbán" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Hungria" has generated $44 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Hungria," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Hungria" is "Péter Magyar" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Viktor Orbán" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Hungria" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.