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Mundo·Eleições Mundiais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Hungria

Market icon
Mundo·Eleições Mundiais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Hungria

Péter Magyar 67%

Viktor Orbán 34%

István Kapitány <1%

László Toroczkai <1%

Polymarket

$43,917,096 Vol.

Péter Magyar 67%

Viktor Orbán 34%

István Kapitány <1%

László Toroczkai <1%

Polymarket

$43,917,096 Vol.

Market icon

Péter Magyar

$5,644,072 Vol.

67%

Market icon

Viktor Orbán

$5,496,357 Vol.

34%

Market icon

István Kapitány

$10,172,053 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

László Toroczkai

$12,270,479 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

János Lázár

$5,830,761 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Klára Dobrev

$4,509,458 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Hungary's parliamentary elections scheduled for April 12, trader consensus heavily favors Péter Magyar of the opposition Tisza party at 66.5% implied probability to become the next prime minister, reflecting recent polls showing Tisza leading Viktor Orbán's Fidesz by 19-23 points among decided voters—such as Medián's March survey at 58%-35% and 21 Kutatóközpont's 56%-37%. Magyar, a former Orbán ally turned critic, has surged on anti-corruption pledges and pro-EU/NATO stances amid economic discontent and Fidesz scandals, bolstered by large rallies like Budapest's mid-March gathering. Orbán trails at 33.5% despite incumbency advantages in Hungary's mixed electoral system, with minor candidates like István Kapitány negligible; final turnout and coalition dynamics could still sway government formation.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,917,096
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Hungary's parliamentary elections scheduled for April 12, trader consensus heavily favors Péter Magyar of the opposition Tisza party at 66.5% implied probability to become the next prime minister, reflecting recent polls showing Tisza leading Viktor Orbán's Fidesz by 19-23 points among decided voters—such as Medián's March survey at 58%-35% and 21 Kutatóközpont's 56%-37%. Magyar, a former Orbán ally turned critic, has surged on anti-corruption pledges and pro-EU/NATO stances amid economic discontent and Fidesz scandals, bolstered by large rallies like Budapest's mid-March gathering. Orbán trails at 33.5% despite incumbency advantages in Hungary's mixed electoral system, with minor candidates like István Kapitány negligible; final turnout and coalition dynamics could still sway government formation.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,917,096
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Hungria" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Péter Magyar" at 67%, followed by "Viktor Orbán" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Hungria" has generated $43.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Hungria," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Hungria" is "Péter Magyar" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Viktor Orbán" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Hungria" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.