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Mundo·Eleições Globais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia

Market icon
Mundo·Eleições Globais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia

Magdalena Andersson 57%

Ulf Kristersson 38%

Jimmie Åkesson 2.5%

Ebba Busch <1%

Polymarket

$1,855,598 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 57%

Ulf Kristersson 38%

Jimmie Åkesson 2.5%

Ebba Busch <1%

Polymarket

$1,855,598 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson será a próxima primeira-ministra da Suécia? icon

Magdalena Andersson

$58,211 Vol.

57%

Ulf Kristersson será o próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia? icon

Ulf Kristersson

$51,316 Vol.

38%

Jimmie Åkesson será o próximo primeiro-ministro da Suécia? icon

Jimmie Åkesson

$1,335,729 Vol.

2%

Ebba Busch será a próxima primeira-ministra da Suécia? icon

Ebba Busch

$281,225 Vol.

<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar será a próxima Primeira-Ministra da Suécia? icon

Nooshi Dadgostar

$19,124 Vol.

<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt será a próxima Primeira-Ministra da Suécia? icon

Anna-Karin Hatt

$19,737 Vol.

<1%

Amanda Lind será a próxima Primeira-Ministra da Suécia? icon

Amanda Lind

$17,769 Vol.

<1%

Simona Mohamsson será a próxima Primeira-Ministra da Suécia? icon

Simona Mohamsson

$33,750 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Helldén será o próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia? icon

Daniel Helldén

$21,132 Vol.

<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist será a próxima Primeira-Ministra da Suécia? icon

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$17,603 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls, including Ipsos in mid-April 2026 and Verian on April 5, show Social Democrats at around 33% support, leading the progressive bloc to a projected parliamentary majority of about 55% of seats under proportional representation. Preferred prime minister surveys in the same Ipsos poll give Magdalena Andersson 36% backing—more than double incumbent Ulf Kristersson's 16%—bolstering trader consensus pricing her at 57.5% implied probability to lead the next government after the September 13 election. Kristersson's Tidö coalition, reliant on Sweden Democrats' external support, trails with declining Moderates and Sweden Democrats polls amid voter fatigue, positioning him at 38%; smaller parties like Jimmie Åkesson trail far behind due to limited bloc viability.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,855,598
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polls, including Ipsos in mid-April 2026 and Verian on April 5, show Social Democrats at around 33% support, leading the progressive bloc to a projected parliamentary majority of about 55% of seats under proportional representation. Preferred prime minister surveys in the same Ipsos poll give Magdalena Andersson 36% backing—more than double incumbent Ulf Kristersson's 16%—bolstering trader consensus pricing her at 57.5% implied probability to lead the next government after the September 13 election. Kristersson's Tidö coalition, reliant on Sweden Democrats' external support, trails with declining Moderates and Sweden Democrats polls amid voter fatigue, positioning him at 38%; smaller parties like Jimmie Åkesson trail far behind due to limited bloc viability.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,855,598
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Magdalena Andersson" at 57%, followed by "Ulf Kristersson" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" is "Magdalena Andersson" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ulf Kristersson" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.