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Mundo·Eleições Globais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia

Market icon
Mundo·Eleições Globais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia

Magdalena Andersson 57%

Ulf Kristersson 35%

Jimmie Åkesson 2.8%

Ebba Busch 1.3%

Polymarket

$1,713,416 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 57%

Ulf Kristersson 35%

Jimmie Åkesson 2.8%

Ebba Busch 1.3%

Polymarket

$1,713,416 Vol.

Market icon

Magdalena Andersson

$45,542 Vol.

57%

Market icon

Ulf Kristersson

$42,194 Vol.

35%

Market icon

Jimmie Åkesson

$1,284,340 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Ebba Busch

$264,670 Vol.

1%

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Amanda Lind

$11,670 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Nooshi Dadgostar

$11,235 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Anna-Karin Hatt

$11,835 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Simona Mohamsson

$16,148 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Daniel Helldén

$12,256 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$13,525 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors former Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson at 57% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister, driven by Social Democrats' persistent lead as the largest party in recent polls averaging around 33% support ahead of the September 13, 2026, general election under proportional representation. Incumbent Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson trails at 35%, as his Tidö coalition (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, with Sweden Democrats tolerance) hovers at 45-51% in March polls from Demoskop, Ipsos, and Novus, facing a tight race with the red-green bloc at 44-47%. Kristersson's April 1 announcement offering Sweden Democrats formal cabinet roles if victorious aims to lock in right-wing support and enable majority government formation in the 349-seat Riksdag, but has yet to shift polling momentum toward the center-right amid stable trends over the past month.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,713,416
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors former Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson at 57% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister, driven by Social Democrats' persistent lead as the largest party in recent polls averaging around 33% support ahead of the September 13, 2026, general election under proportional representation. Incumbent Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson trails at 35%, as his Tidö coalition (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, with Sweden Democrats tolerance) hovers at 45-51% in March polls from Demoskop, Ipsos, and Novus, facing a tight race with the red-green bloc at 44-47%. Kristersson's April 1 announcement offering Sweden Democrats formal cabinet roles if victorious aims to lock in right-wing support and enable majority government formation in the 349-seat Riksdag, but has yet to shift polling momentum toward the center-right amid stable trends over the past month.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,713,416
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Magdalena Andersson" at 57%, followed by "Ulf Kristersson" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" is "Magdalena Andersson" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ulf Kristersson" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.