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Eleições·Eleições Globais

Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas

Market icon
Eleições·Eleições Globais

Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas

Édouard Philippe 24%

Jordan Bardella 23%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 7%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$44,621,143 Vol.

Édouard Philippe 24%

Jordan Bardella 23%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 7%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$44,621,143 Vol.

Édouard Philippe vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Édouard Philippe

$533,392 Vol.

24%

Jordan Bardella vai ganhar as eleições presidenciais francesas de 2027? icon

Jordan Bardella

$760,480 Vol.

23%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$350,827 Vol.

7%

Marine Le Pen vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Marine Le Pen

$400,145 Vol.

6%

Dominique de Villepin vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Dominique de Villepin

$994,952 Vol.

5%

David Lisnard vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

David Lisnard

$913,087 Vol.

4%

Gabriel Attal vencerá as eleições presidenciais francesas de 2027? icon

Gabriel Attal

$1,027,663 Vol.

3%

François Hollande vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

François Hollande

$753,301 Vol.

3%

Bruno Retailleau vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Bruno Retailleau

$1,129,215 Vol.

3%

Jean Castex vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Jean Castex

$612,520 Vol.

2%

Raphaël Glucksmann vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Raphaël Glucksmann

$616,856 Vol.

2%

Sarah Knafo vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Sarah Knafo

$1,098,777 Vol.

2%

Sébastien Lecornu vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Sébastien Lecornu

$768,144 Vol.

1%

Gérald Darmanin vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Gérald Darmanin

$531,519 Vol.

1%

Bernard Cazeneuve vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,073,258 Vol.

1%

Fabien Roussel vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Fabien Roussel

$1,708,710 Vol.

1%

Éric Zemmour vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Éric Zemmour

$544,266 Vol.

1%

François Ruffin vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

François Ruffin

$543,148 Vol.

1%

Valérie Pécresse vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Valérie Pécresse

$1,894,708 Vol.

1%

Laurent Wauquiez vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Laurent Wauquiez

$994,799 Vol.

1%

François Asselineau vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

François Asselineau

$2,259,079 Vol.

1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$2,090,256 Vol.

1%

Élisabeth Borne vai vencer a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Élisabeth Borne

$2,163,061 Vol.

1%

Carole Delga vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Carole Delga

$1,715,306 Vol.

1%

Manuel Bompard vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Manuel Bompard

$1,520,939 Vol.

1%

Juan Branco vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Juan Branco

$429,273 Vol.

1%

Xavier Bertrand vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Xavier Bertrand

$1,317,189 Vol.

1%

Marine Tondelier vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Marine Tondelier

$917,687 Vol.

1%

Olivier Faure vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Olivier Faure

$1,441,931 Vol.

1%

Ségolène Royal ganhará a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Ségolène Royal

$1,683,296 Vol.

1%

Clémentine Autain vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Clémentine Autain

$2,198,486 Vol.

1%

Michel Barnier vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Michel Barnier

$1,734,565 Vol.

1%

François Bayrou vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

François Bayrou

$2,284,555 Vol.

1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,683,439 Vol.

1%

Mathilde Panot vai ganhar a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Mathilde Panot

$1,925,122 Vol.

1%

Clémence Guetté vencerá a eleição presidencial francesa de 2027? icon

Clémence Guetté

$2,008,932 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Édouard Philippe slightly ahead of Jordan Bardella for the 2027 French presidential election, reflecting polls where Bardella leads first-round voting intentions at 34-37% amid widespread desire for change post-March 2026 municipal elections, while Philippe trails at 16-21% but prevails in most runoff matchups, such as 52-48 in recent Odoxa surveys. Philippe's reelection as Le Havre mayor bolstered his centrist-right appeal as the strongest far-right challenger, tempered by Rassemblement National's failure to capture key cities despite gains. A fragmented left, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 6-12% and no unified primary yet, and Marine Le Pen's low support amid her pending July court ruling on eligibility, keep the field open. Party primaries, economic indicators, or scandals could consolidate support and create separation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$44,621,143
Data de Término
30 abr 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Édouard Philippe slightly ahead of Jordan Bardella for the 2027 French presidential election, reflecting polls where Bardella leads first-round voting intentions at 34-37% amid widespread desire for change post-March 2026 municipal elections, while Philippe trails at 16-21% but prevails in most runoff matchups, such as 52-48 in recent Odoxa surveys. Philippe's reelection as Le Havre mayor bolstered his centrist-right appeal as the strongest far-right challenger, tempered by Rassemblement National's failure to capture key cities despite gains. A fragmented left, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 6-12% and no unified primary yet, and Marine Le Pen's low support amid her pending July court ruling on eligibility, keep the field open. Party primaries, economic indicators, or scandals could consolidate support and create separation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$44,621,143
Data de Término
30 abr 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 24%, followed by "Jordan Bardella" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" has generated $44.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" is "Édouard Philippe" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jordan Bardella" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.