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Política·Uk

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Hackney

Market icon
Política·Uk

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Hackney

Zoë Garbett 61%

Caroline Woodley 36%

Eva Steinhardt 3.2%

Vahid Almasi 1.7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Zoë Garbett 61%

Caroline Woodley 36%

Eva Steinhardt 3.2%

Vahid Almasi 1.7%

Polymarket
NOVO
Zoë Garbett vencerá a eleição para prefeito do distrito londrino de Hackney em 2026? icon

Zoë Garbett

$1,663 Vol.

61%

Caroline Woodley vencerá a eleição para prefeito do distrito londrino de Hackney em 2026? icon

Caroline Woodley

$214 Vol.

36%

Eva Steinhardt vencerá a eleição para prefeito do distrito londrino de Hackney em 2026? icon

Eva Steinhardt

$183 Vol.

3%

Vahid Almasi vai ganhar a eleição para prefeito do distrito de Hackney, em Londres, em 2026? icon

Vahid Almasi

$80 Vol.

2%

Tareke Gregg ganhará a eleição para prefeito do distrito de Hackney, em Londres, em 2026? icon

Tareke Gregg

$125 Vol.

1%

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.Trader consensus favors Green Party candidate Zoë Garbett at 60% implied probability to win the Hackney mayoral election on May 7, 2026, reflecting a recent JL Partners MRP poll showing Greens leading Labour 40%-33% borough-wide amid council seat projections of Greens securing the most seats (28 of 57) under no overall control. Incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley trails at 36.5%, pressured by a 2023 by-election victory tainted by prior scandal, recent Labour councillor defections, and a September 2024 by-election loss to Greens in Stoke Newington. Minor candidates—Liberal Democrat Eva Steinhardt (3.3%), Reform UK's Vahid Almasi (1.7%), and Conservative Tareke Gregg (0.6%)—trail amid first-past-the-post dynamics favoring the top two, with voter registration deadlines closing April 20 heightening turnout focus.

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Volume
$2,264
Data de Término
7 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.Trader consensus favors Green Party candidate Zoë Garbett at 60% implied probability to win the Hackney mayoral election on May 7, 2026, reflecting a recent JL Partners MRP poll showing Greens leading Labour 40%-33% borough-wide amid council seat projections of Greens securing the most seats (28 of 57) under no overall control. Incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley trails at 36.5%, pressured by a 2023 by-election victory tainted by prior scandal, recent Labour councillor defections, and a September 2024 by-election loss to Greens in Stoke Newington. Minor candidates—Liberal Democrat Eva Steinhardt (3.3%), Reform UK's Vahid Almasi (1.7%), and Conservative Tareke Gregg (0.6%)—trail amid first-past-the-post dynamics favoring the top two, with voter registration deadlines closing April 20 heightening turnout focus.

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Volume
$2,264
Data de Término
7 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Hackney" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zoë Garbett" at 61%, followed by "Caroline Woodley" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Hackney" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Hackney," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Hackney" is "Zoë Garbett" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Caroline Woodley" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Hackney" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.