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Hegseth previsões e probabilidades

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

2%

$14.2K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

10%

$122K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

37%

$207K Vol.

$52.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

36%

June 30

$129K Vol.

$35.0K Liq.

6

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?

Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?

42%

$42 Vol.

$142 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

5%

$156K Vol.

$42.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$603M Vol.

$2M today

$25M Liq.

381

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%

JD Vance

$570M Vol.

$998K today

$29M Liq.

887

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

62%

Nicolás Maduro

$87M Vol.

$59.4K today

$928K Liq.

327

Ends em 8 meses

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Marco Rubio

$32.0K Vol.

Ends em 25 dias

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

82%

Delcy Rodríguez

$8.5K Vol.

$518K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

63%

Kash Patel

$1M Vol.

$263K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

5%

Any U.S. House member

$380K Vol.

$124K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

35%

Tulsi Gabbard

$10.5K Vol.

$36.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

25%

Marco Rubio

$6.3K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs SAW (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs SAW (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

100%

SAW

$8.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 26 dias

StarCraft II: Harstem vs Zoun (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group D

StarCraft II: Harstem vs Zoun (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group D

Zoun

$1.1K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 2 meses

Counter-Strike: SSSghoul vs Vlad to the Bone666 (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs

Counter-Strike: SSSghoul vs Vlad to the Bone666 (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs

76%

SSSghoul

$0 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

79%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

123

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Invicta (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Invicta (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

100%

MASONIC

$1.8K Vol.

Ends há 15 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hegseth.

Polymarket currently hosts 125 active markets for Hegseth that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 39% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hegseth predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.