PM previsões e probabilidades

Geopolitics

Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?

$572K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

20%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$572K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Sports·Games

CF Estrela da Amadora vs. SC Braga - Resultado do Intervalo

$0 Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

19%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Geopolitics·Eu

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Roménia nomeado por…?

$25.7K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

94%

31 de dezembro

$25.7K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Prime Minister

Edi Rama como primeiro-ministro da Albânia em 2026?

$140K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

10%

$140K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Esports·Dota 2

Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - EPL Masters Grupo B

$426K Vol.

$426K today

$193K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 horas

100%

Pipsqueak+4

$426K Vol.

$426K today

$193K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 horas

Geopolitics·Spain

Voto de desconfiança contra o primeiro-ministro espanhol Sanchez por...?

$19.2K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

24%

31 de dezembro

$19.2K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Politics·Lid

A Casa Branca vai fechar as portas até às 18h30? (31 de agosto a 5 de setembro)

$7.2K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 13 horas

100%

5 de setembro

$7.2K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 13 horas

Culture·Movies

Pontuação do Rotten Tomatoes "Primetime"?

$6.7K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

96%

70+

$6.7K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

Politics·Lid

A Casa Branca vai fechar as portas até às 18h30? (7 a 12 de setembro)

$4.0K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

82%

8 de setembro

$4.0K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

World·Romania

O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?

$845K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

336

Ends em 4 meses

96%

31 de dezembro

$845K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

336

Ends em 4 meses

Sports·CFB

Merrimack vs. Maine

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

51%

Maine

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

World·France

Lecornu como primeiro-ministro francês por...?

$348K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

112

Ends em 4 meses

28%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$348K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

112

Ends em 4 meses

Politics·Marine Le Pen

Le Pen nomeia PM não-Bardella por...?

$2.6K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

22%

17 de abril de 2027

$2.6K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Sports·Games

M25 Pozzuoli: Matteo Mesaglio vs Massimo Junior Del Carmine

$103 Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

100%

Matteo Mesaglio

$103 Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Politics·United Kingdom

Andy Burnham como primeiro-ministro do Reino Unido por...?

$6.6K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

31 de dezembro

$6.6K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Israel

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

$1.2K Vol.

$283 Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

33%

$1.2K Vol.

$283 Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Finance·Equities

Meta (META) fecha a semana de 7 de setembro às ___?

$0 Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

18%

$610-$620

$0 Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Esports·Fortnite

Lacy e Marlon venceram o desafio do jogo por...?

$460K Vol.

$69.7K today

$11.6K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

94%

September 14 (11:59 PM)

$460K Vol.

$69.7K today

$11.6K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

$80.3K Vol.

$112K Liq.

Ends em mais de 2 anos

51%

Giorgia Meloni

$80.3K Vol.

$112K Liq.

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Esports·Dota 2

Dota 2: NS Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Grupo A

$3.2K Vol.

Ends há 3 meses

100%

TPaBoMaH Club

$3.2K Vol.

Ends há 3 meses

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Estado do evento

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PM.

Polymarket currently hosts 9895 active markets for PM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 95% chance to 31 de dezembro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for PM shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the PM prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the PM prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

PM previsões e probabilidades

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of PM prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do PM markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top PM prediction?

Why use Polymarket for PM predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s PM odds?

Can I track PM predictions without trading?

How do I get started with PM markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of PM prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do PM markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top PM prediction?

Why use Polymarket for PM predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s PM odds?

Can I track PM predictions without trading?

How do I get started with PM markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

PM previsões e probabilidades