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PM previsões e probabilidades

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Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

36%

December 31, 2026

$326K Vol.

$54.5K Liq.

56

Ends em 7 meses

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

99%

December 31

$435K Vol.

$64.4K Liq.

131

Ends em 7 meses

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

21%

$2.7K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$322K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

111

Ends em 7 meses

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

57%

$289 Vol.

$665 Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

48%

$1.2K Vol.

$422 Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 18 - 23)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 18 - 23)

100%

May 23

$133K Vol.

$52.3K today

$326K Liq.

Ends há 3 dias

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 25 - 30)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 25 - 30)

75%

May 28

$1.4K Vol.

$960 Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

95%

June

$384K Vol.

$53.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

47%

Andy Burnham

$8M Vol.

$94.6K today

$1M Liq.

98

Ends em 7 meses

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

98%

Janez Janša

$4M Vol.

$172K Liq.

194

Ends há 2 meses

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

53%

Independent/Technocrat

$23.5K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

90%

Mette Frederiksen

$9M Vol.

$231K Liq.

178

Ends há 2 meses

Next Prime Minister of Malta

Next Prime Minister of Malta

94%

Robert Abela

$233K Vol.

$135K Liq.

4

Ends em 4 dias

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

35%

Eugen Tomac

$1M Vol.

$209K today

$665K Liq.

40

Ends em 5 dias

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

39%

Naftali Bennett

$12M Vol.

$324K today

$1M Liq.

286

Ends em 7 meses

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

72%

December 31

$30M Vol.

$125K today

$276K Liq.

1,719

Ends há 5 meses

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

92%

80-99

$15.4K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 5 horas

Zelenskyy # posts May 26 - June 2, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 26 - June 2, 2026?

41%

60-79

$2.0K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 29 - June 5, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 29 - June 5, 2026?

32%

80-99

$356 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PM.

Polymarket currently hosts 2139 active markets for PM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $66.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 72% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.