Skip to main content

PM previsões e probabilidades

·
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

34%

No Next PM in 2026

$5M Vol.

$730K Liq.

57

Ends em 8 meses

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

46%

Giorgia Meloni

$11.1K Vol.

$115K Liq.

7

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

14%

$14.5K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

17%

$953 Vol.

$134 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

63%

$119 Vol.

$41 Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

27%

December 31, 2026

$321K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

112

Ends em 8 meses

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

99%

December 31

$264K Vol.

$122K today

$176K Liq.

64

Ends em 8 meses

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 4 - 9)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 4 - 9)

50%

May 7

$5.6K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 dias

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$125K Vol.

$46.5K Liq.

38

Ends em 8 meses

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

67%

June

$333K Vol.

$31.7K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

17%

France

$898M Vol.

$7M today

$204M Liq.

669

Ends em 2 meses

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

33%

May 31

$7M Vol.

$2M today

$1M Liq.

419

Ends em 25 dias

Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

35%

Finland

$130M Vol.

$1M today

$16M Liq.

549

Ends em 10 dias

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Jordan Bardella

$61M Vol.

$1M today

$5M Liq.

459

Ends em 12 meses

Elon Musk # tweets May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets May 1 - May 8, 2026?

40%

160-179

$5M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends em 2 dias

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

71%

December 31

$74M Vol.

$3M today

$605K Liq.

1,529

Ends em 8 meses

F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

40%

Kimi Antonelli

$142M Vol.

$889K today

$12M Liq.

183

Ends em 7 meses

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

70%

June 30

$13M Vol.

$850K today

$290K Liq.

304

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

75%

June 30

$32M Vol.

$1M today

$210K Liq.

5

Ends há 6 dias

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

2%

$16M Vol.

$604K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends em 25 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PM.

Polymarket currently hosts 4262 active markets for PM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.4B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 17% chance to France. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.