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Reino Unido previsões e probabilidades

·
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

48%

Andy Burnham

$8M Vol.

$257K today

$1M Liq.

99

Ends em 7 meses

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

5%

Oman

$1M Vol.

$346K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

38%

Mexico

$296K Vol.

$187K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

92%

France

$453K Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

46%

Kuwait

$3.0K Vol.

$36.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$770K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

14

Ends há 5 meses

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

4%

$2.6K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

4

Ends em 7 meses

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

30%

$3.9K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

3

Ends em 10 meses

U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs Scotland Under-19s - More Markets

U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs Scotland Under-19s - More Markets

-

$856 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 4 meses

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

3%

$3.5K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

11%

$35.7K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

4%

3-4%

$2.1K Vol.

$586 Liq.

1

Ends em 9 meses

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

28%

0.6–0.7%

$8 Vol.

$358 Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

69%

$51.3K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

73%

December 31

$30M Vol.

$128K today

$253K Liq.

1,723

Ends há 5 meses

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

70%

Andy Burnham

$20.3K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

71%

Robert Kenyon

$1.4K Vol.

$53.4K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions

United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions

70%

Leinster

$291 Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

22%

Burnham 3-6%

$13.2K Vol.

$47.3K Liq.

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1) - More Markets

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1) - More Markets

-

$1.6K Vol.

Ends há 4 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Reino Unido.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Reino Unido that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $41.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 73% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Reino Unido predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.