The UK extradition request against Andrew Tate and his brother followed their July 2026 arrest in Miami, with British authorities facing a mid-September deadline to submit supporting evidence to the US State Department before any formal hearing. US court records indicate the full extradition process, including challenges by defense counsel and potential appeals, typically spans months rather than weeks, even absent delays from bail disputes or Romanian proceedings still underway. White House statements have ruled out intervention, leaving the timeline governed by standard treaty procedures and judicial scheduling. Traders price the September 30 cutoff at under 5 percent for “Yes” because physical transfer remains improbable before key filings and hearings occur. Unlikely but possible shifts include an unusually expedited waiver or unforeseen diplomatic priority that compresses the schedule.