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Economia previsões e probabilidades

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O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de maio?

O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de maio?

1%

Sim

$28M Vol.

$1M today

$519K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 dias

Decisão do Fed em junho?

Decisão do Fed em junho?

97%

Sem alteração

$45M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

1

Ends em 20 dias

Maior empresa no final de junho?

Maior empresa no final de junho?

81%

NVIDIA

$15M Vol.

$498K today

$1M Liq.

80

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

A MicroStrategy vende qualquer Bitcoin até ___ ?

A MicroStrategy vende qualquer Bitcoin até ___ ?

83%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$32M Vol.

$383K today

$170K Liq.

861

Ends em 7 meses

Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

100%

NVIDIA

$10M Vol.

$361K today

$1M Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de junho?

O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de junho?

42%

Sim

$10M Vol.

$272K today

$197K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

67%

0 (0 bps)

$30M Vol.

$262K today

$1M Liq.

80

Ends em 7 meses

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

18%

$220K Vol.

$193K today

$36.3K Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

64%

$2M Vol.

$170K today

$152K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

27%

20+

$1M Vol.

$153K today

$87.1K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Decisão do Fed em julho?

Decisão do Fed em julho?

93%

Sem mudança

$7M Vol.

$109K today

$834K Liq.

1

Ends em 2 meses

2nd largest company end of May?

2nd largest company end of May?

95%

Alphabet

$1M Vol.

$68.0K today

$440K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?

Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?

62%

NVIDIA

$3M Vol.

$670K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

3rd largest company end of May?

3rd largest company end of May?

93%

Apple

$333K Vol.

$158K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

33%

Reunião de Dezembro

$2M Vol.

$148K Liq.

17

Ends em 20 dias

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

31%

Sim

$1M Vol.

$58.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

90%

Aumento de 25 pontos base

$432K Vol.

$62.6K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

87%

$386K Vol.

$141K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

May Inflation US - Annual

May Inflation US - Annual

45%

4.3%

$297K Vol.

$159K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Decisões do Fed (mar-jun)

Decisões do Fed (mar-jun)

97%

Pausar–Pausar–Pausar

$1M Vol.

$81.2K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Economia.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Economia that lets you track or trade on predictions like “O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de maio?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $190.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de junho?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Decisão do Fed em junho?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Decisão do Fed em junho?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to Sem alteração. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Economia predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.