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Economia previsões e probabilidades

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Decisão do Fed em junho?

Decisão do Fed em junho?

99%

Sem alteração

$80M Vol.

$4M today

$4M Liq.

1

Ends em 6 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

1%

$7M Vol.

$1M today

$481K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de junho?

O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de junho?

8%

Sim

$17M Vol.

$863K today

$639K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Decisão do Fed em julho?

Decisão do Fed em julho?

93%

Sem mudança

$9M Vol.

$268K today

$865K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Maior empresa no final de junho?

Maior empresa no final de junho?

93%

NVIDIA

$22M Vol.

$228K today

$2M Liq.

80

Ends em 19 dias

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

79%

0 (0 bps)

$34M Vol.

$192K today

$2M Liq.

84

Ends em 7 meses

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

27%

$4M Vol.

$189K today

$233K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

99%

Aumento de 25 pontos base

$949K Vol.

$120K today

$228K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 5 horas

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

74%

$947K Vol.

$113K today

$247K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?
Economy·Macro Single

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

52%

Sim

$2M Vol.

$83.5K today

$187K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Decisão do Banco do Japão em junho?
Economy·Japan

Decisão do Banco do Japão em junho?

98%

Aumento de 25 pontos-base

$464K Vol.

$55.3K today

$92.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Decisões do Fed (mar-jun)

Decisões do Fed (mar-jun)

99%

Pausar–Pausar–Pausar

$2M Vol.

$150K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

2nd largest company end of June?

2nd largest company end of June?

60%

Alphabet

$419K Vol.

$276K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

75%

No change

$237K Vol.

$392K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Quão alta será a inflação em 2026?
Economy·Inflation

Quão alta será a inflação em 2026?

41%

Acima de 4,5%

$1M Vol.

$88.0K Liq.

29

Ends em 7 meses

Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?

Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?

68%

NVIDIA

$3M Vol.

$702K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

24%

Reunião de Dezembro

$2M Vol.

$213K Liq.

17

Ends em 6 dias

Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026
Economy·Inflation

Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

92%

6.0%–6.9%

$22.5K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

1

Ends em 31 minutos

Decisão do Banco da Rússia em junho?

Decisão do Banco da Rússia em junho?

93%

Decrease

$84.1K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

75%

No change

$50.9K Vol.

$56.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

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