The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through its April 29, 2026 FOMC meeting—the third consecutive hold this year—despite March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year from 2.4% in February, fueled by energy price surges amid geopolitical tensions. An unusually divided 8-4 vote underscored policymaker caution, balancing sticky inflation against labor market resilience. Prediction market trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for a near-term rate hike, with CME FedWatch pricing over 95% odds of no change at the June 16-17 meeting. Traders eye April CPI data on May 12 and subsequent nonfarm payrolls as pivotal for assessing persistent inflationary pressures versus recession risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$144,559 Vol.

Reunião de Junho
1%

Reunião de Julho
6%

Reunião de Setembro
16%

Reunião de Outubro
23%
$144,559 Vol.

Reunião de Junho
1%

Reunião de Julho
6%

Reunião de Setembro
16%

Reunião de Outubro
23%
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through its April 29, 2026 FOMC meeting—the third consecutive hold this year—despite March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year from 2.4% in February, fueled by energy price surges amid geopolitical tensions. An unusually divided 8-4 vote underscored policymaker caution, balancing sticky inflation against labor market resilience. Prediction market trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for a near-term rate hike, with CME FedWatch pricing over 95% odds of no change at the June 16-17 meeting. Traders eye April CPI data on May 12 and subsequent nonfarm payrolls as pivotal for assessing persistent inflationary pressures versus recession risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions