The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the second consecutive pause amid February CPI inflation holding at 2.4% year-over-year, aligning with the central bank's 2% target trajectory. CME FedWatch Tool data shows over 94% implied probability of no change at the upcoming April 28-29 meeting, reflecting trader consensus on persistent labor market resilience and recent oil price spikes from Middle East tensions, which have tempered easing expectations. Wall Street forecasts two rate cuts later in 2026, but key catalysts include April 10 CPI data and nonfarm payrolls, potentially shifting monetary policy outlooks if inflation reaccelerates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$1,278,639 Vol.
Reunião de abril
1%
Reunião de junho
10%
Reunião de julho
22%
Reunião de Setembro
41%
Reunião de Outubro
55%
Reunião de Dezembro
64%
$1,278,639 Vol.
Reunião de abril
1%
Reunião de junho
10%
Reunião de julho
22%
Reunião de Setembro
41%
Reunião de Outubro
55%
Reunião de Dezembro
64%
If no April meeting takes place by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If no April meeting takes place by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the second consecutive pause amid February CPI inflation holding at 2.4% year-over-year, aligning with the central bank's 2% target trajectory. CME FedWatch Tool data shows over 94% implied probability of no change at the upcoming April 28-29 meeting, reflecting trader consensus on persistent labor market resilience and recent oil price spikes from Middle East tensions, which have tempered easing expectations. Wall Street forecasts two rate cuts later in 2026, but key catalysts include April 10 CPI data and nonfarm payrolls, potentially shifting monetary policy outlooks if inflation reaccelerates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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