The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% following its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, with the dot plot median projecting one rate cut for the year amid persistent inflation above target and robust labor market conditions. Recent meeting minutes highlighted some officials' openness to hikes, citing upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts from war-related oil shocks. March nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000—exceeding expectations—while unemployment dipped to 4.3%. Polymarket trader consensus reflects caution on near-term cuts, with today's March CPI release and the April 28-29 FOMC gathering as pivotal catalysts for shifting rate path expectations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$1,330,767 Vol.
Reunião de abril
1%
Reunião de junho
11%
Reunião de julho
34%
Reunião de Setembro
48%
Reunião de Outubro
68%
Reunião de Dezembro
63%
$1,330,767 Vol.
Reunião de abril
1%
Reunião de junho
11%
Reunião de julho
34%
Reunião de Setembro
48%
Reunião de Outubro
68%
Reunião de Dezembro
63%
If no April meeting takes place by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If no April meeting takes place by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% following its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, with the dot plot median projecting one rate cut for the year amid persistent inflation above target and robust labor market conditions. Recent meeting minutes highlighted some officials' openness to hikes, citing upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts from war-related oil shocks. March nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000—exceeding expectations—while unemployment dipped to 4.3%. Polymarket trader consensus reflects caution on near-term cuts, with today's March CPI release and the April 28-29 FOMC gathering as pivotal catalysts for shifting rate path expectations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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