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Fed previsões e probabilidades

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Decisão do Fed em junho?

Decisão do Fed em junho?

97%

Sem alteração

$44M Vol.

$2M today

$3M Liq.

1

Ends em 21 dias

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

66%

0 (0 bps)

$30M Vol.

$205K today

$1M Liq.

80

Ends em 7 meses

Decisão do Fed em julho?

Decisão do Fed em julho?

93%

Sem mudança

$7M Vol.

$161K today

$716K Liq.

1

Ends em 2 meses

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

32%

Reunião de Dezembro

$2M Vol.

$111K Liq.

17

Ends em 21 dias

Decisões do Fed (mar-jun)

Decisões do Fed (mar-jun)

97%

Pausar–Pausar–Pausar

$1M Vol.

$58.8K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

39%

Sim

$1M Vol.

$49.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

74%

No change

$54.9K Vol.

$252K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Qual será a taxa do Fed no final de 2026?

Qual será a taxa do Fed no final de 2026?

44%

3,75%

$7M Vol.

$133K Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

3%

$67.2K Vol.

$40.0K Liq.

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

67%

0

$23.8K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

2%

June 30

$38.8K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

O que a taxa do Fed atingirá antes de 2027?

O que a taxa do Fed atingirá antes de 2027?

25%

↓ 3,25%

$1M Vol.

$95.1K Liq.

4

Ends em 7 meses

Jerome Powell cobrado pelo governo federal até 30 de junho?

Jerome Powell cobrado pelo governo federal até 30 de junho?

4%

Sim

$272K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

33

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Aumento da taxa do Fed em...?

Aumento da taxa do Fed em...?

28%

Reunião de Outubro

$153K Vol.

$73.7K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Jerome Powell fora do Conselho do Fed por...?

Jerome Powell fora do Conselho do Fed por...?

42%

31 de dezembro

$343K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

13

Ends em 7 meses

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

71%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.6K Vol.

$73.9K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Decisões do Fed (abr-jul)

Decisões do Fed (abr-jul)

93%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$51.6K Vol.

$47.1K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Redução da taxa de emergência do Fed antes de 2027?

Redução da taxa de emergência do Fed antes de 2027?

11%

Sim

$105K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

3%

$3.7K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Trump tentará demitir Powell como membro do conselho do Fed até...?

Trump tentará demitir Powell como membro do conselho do Fed até...?

18%

31 de dezembro

$16.3K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Fed.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Fed that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Decisão do Fed em junho?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $93.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Jerome Powell cobrado pelo governo federal até 30 de junho?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Decisão do Fed em junho?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Decisão do Fed em junho?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to Sem alteração. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Fed predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.