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PolíTica EconóMica previsões e probabilidades

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Decisão do Fed em junho?

Decisão do Fed em junho?

100%

Sem alteração

$165M Vol.

$34M today

$17M Liq.

1

Ends há cerca de 20 horas

Decisão do Fed em julho?

Decisão do Fed em julho?

78%

Sem mudança

$12M Vol.

$1M today

$634K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

79%

0 (0 bps)

$36M Vol.

$469K today

$2M Liq.

85

Ends em 7 meses

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

37%

Reunião de Outubro

$2M Vol.

$78.8K today

$203K Liq.

18

Ends há cerca de 20 horas

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

57%

$2M Vol.

$118K today

$82.9K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

61%

No change

$356K Vol.

$307K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Decisões do Fed (mar-jun)

Decisões do Fed (mar-jun)

100%

Pausar–Pausar–Pausar

$2M Vol.

$144K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 20 horas

Qual será a taxa do Fed no final de 2026?

Qual será a taxa do Fed no final de 2026?

40%

3,75%

$7M Vol.

$151K Liq.

6

Ends em 6 meses

Recessão dos EUA até o final de 2026?

Recessão dos EUA até o final de 2026?

13%

$2M Vol.

$42.4K Liq.

69

Ends em 8 meses

Decisões do Fed (abr-jul)

Decisões do Fed (abr-jul)

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$62.1K Vol.

$60.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Decisão do Banco do Brasil em junho?

Decisão do Banco do Brasil em junho?

84%

Redução

$400K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

Ends há 2 dias

Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?

Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?

100%

Nenhuma mudança

$295K Vol.

$50.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 4 horas

Decisão do Banco da Rússia em junho?

Decisão do Banco da Rússia em junho?

95%

Decrease

$111K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

O que a taxa do Fed atingirá antes de 2027?

O que a taxa do Fed atingirá antes de 2027?

17%

↓ 3,25%

$2M Vol.

$123K Liq.

11

Ends em 7 meses

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

95%

No change

$15.8K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?

60%

Increase

$12.6K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

85%

Increase

$8.2K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

28%

2.0–2.5%

$7.2K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

92%

No change

$17.4K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Jerome Powell fora do Conselho do Fed por...?

Jerome Powell fora do Conselho do Fed por...?

36%

31 de dezembro

$422K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

22

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PolíTica EconóMica.

Polymarket currently hosts 29 active markets for PolíTica EconóMica that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Decisão do Fed em junho?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $230.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Recessão dos EUA até o final de 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Decisão do Fed em junho?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Decisão do Fed em junho?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Sem alteração. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PolíTica EconóMica predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.