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Global Rates
Fed decision in January?
$444m Vol.
$11m today
$21m Liq.
1,369
Ends in 6 days
98%
No change
Bank of Japan decision in January?
$3m Vol.
$554k today
$217k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
99%
Fed decision in March?
$259k today
$575k Liq.
418
Ends in about 2 months
79%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$58.1k today
$822k Liq.
30
Ends in 11 months
27%
3 (75 bps)
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$968k Vol.
$55.6k today
$80.5k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 days
Cut–Cut–Pause
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$63.9k Vol.
$171k Liq.
22%
3.0%
Fed rate cut by...?
$428k Vol.
$99.6k Liq.
3
Ends in 5 months
61%
June Meeting
Bank of Japan Decision in March?
$118k Vol.
$10.6k Liq.
78%
ECB Interest Rates: February 2026
$322k Vol.
$43.7k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$588k Vol.
$130k Liq.
26
Ends in 4 months
8%
May 14
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in February
$99.0k Vol.
$10.0k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
52%
Increase
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$466k Vol.
$133k Liq.
94%
↓ 3.25%
Bank of Brazil Decision in March?
$24.4k Vol.
$4.5k Liq.
77%
Decrease
US GDP growth in Q4 2025?
$247k Vol.
$30.1k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 days
59%
>3.5%
Fed Decision & Dissent Combo in January?
$16.9k Vol.
$24.8k Liq.
53%
No change, Dissents: <2
US recession by end of 2026?
$167k Vol.
$36.6k Liq.
22
Ends in about 1 year
23%
Fed decision in April?
$739k Vol.
$351k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
73%
Major rate cut chances under each Fed Chair?
$5.9k Vol.
$88.9k Liq.
24%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$66.1k Vol.
$10.4k Liq.
December 31
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$21.8k Vol.
$26.9k Liq.
10%
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