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Tarifas previsões e probabilidades

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Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

94%

$403K Vol.

$24.3K Liq.

68

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

16%

$32.9K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

53%

$14.7K Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

1

Ends em 23 dias

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

2%

$45.8K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

8%

$11.2K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

19%

May 31

$134K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

10

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

71%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

123

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

72%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 8?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 8?

99%

$710

$20.5K Vol.

$49.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 9 horas

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

41%

$4.6K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

1

Ends em 23 dias

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$634K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

WTT - Men's Singles: South Korea vs China

WTT - Men's Singles: South Korea vs China

66%

China

$472 Vol.

$222 Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

91%

$21.4K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 8?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 8?

98%

$87

$30.5K Vol.

$37.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 10 horas

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

70%

$551K Vol.

$40.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

WTT - Women's Singles: Ukraine vs Japan

WTT - Women's Singles: Ukraine vs Japan

93%

Japan

$112 Vol.

$51 Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

WTT - Men's Singles: Chinese Taipei vs Japan

WTT - Men's Singles: Chinese Taipei vs Japan

51%

Taipei

$15 Vol.

$3 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$89 Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

62%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

4

Ends em 8 meses

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

71%

FBI

$4.1K Vol.

$472 Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tarifas.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Tarifas that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 71% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tarifas predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.