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Tarifa previsões e probabilidades

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Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

8%

$11.2K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

4%

$45.8K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

16%

$32.9K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

91%

$394K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

67

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?

Manufacturing

+ 21 more

$37.2K Vol.

5

Ends há 2 dias

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

69%

Iran

$7.2K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 dias

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

97%

Street

$6.3K Vol.

$480 Liq.

7

Ends em 3 dias

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

15%

June 30

$212K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

15

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

96%

June 30

$30M Vol.

$699K today

$316K Liq.

602

Ends há 7 dias

Will Trump visit China on...?

Will Trump visit China on...?

75%

May 13

$1M Vol.

$299K today

$545K Liq.

61

Ends em 24 dias

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

34%

Canada

$267K Vol.

$156K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

39%

800–900B

$21.0K Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

Ends em 10 meses

WTT - Men's Singles: Denmark vs Chinese Taipei

WTT - Men's Singles: Denmark vs Chinese Taipei

Taipei

$123 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

79%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

123

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

WTT - Men's Singles: Austria vs India

WTT - Men's Singles: Austria vs India

Austria

$115 Vol.

Ends em 5 dias

WTT - Men's Singles: Germany vs Slovenia

WTT - Men's Singles: Germany vs Slovenia

Germany

$410 Vol.

Ends em 5 dias

WTT - Women's Singles: Germany vs North Korea

WTT - Women's Singles: Germany vs North Korea

100%

Germany

$380 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

WTT - Men's Singles: Romania vs China

WTT - Men's Singles: Romania vs China

China

$1.6K Vol.

Ends em 6 dias

WTT - Women's Singles: China vs Sweden

WTT - Women's Singles: China vs Sweden

China

$68 Vol.

Ends em 6 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tarifa.

Polymarket currently hosts 114 active markets for Tarifa that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $34.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Trump visit China by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Trump visit China by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tarifa predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.