President Donald Trump announced in mid-July 2026 that the United States would oversee security in the Strait of Hormuz and seek reimbursement equivalent to 20 percent of cargo value, prompting immediate pushback from the International Maritime Organization, which stated there is no legal basis for mandatory transit fees under international law governing straits used for international navigation. Trump reversed course the following day, shifting instead to Gulf state trade and investment commitments. Iran has separately pursued service or environmental fees on some vessels, while broader U.S.-Iran tensions over shipping security continue. These developments, combined with longstanding U.S. commitments to free navigation and allied opposition, have kept trader-implied probabilities for U.S. implementation of direct fees low across resolution dates through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOs EUA cobram taxas da Hormuz por...?
Os EUA cobram taxas da Hormuz por...?
$960,416 Vol.
31 ago 2026
31 de agosto
1%
31 de dezembro
7%
$960,416 Vol.
31 de agosto
$175,480 Vol.
1%
31 de dezembro
$97,784 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump announced in mid-July 2026 that the United States would oversee security in the Strait of Hormuz and seek reimbursement equivalent to 20 percent of cargo value, prompting immediate pushback from the International Maritime Organization, which stated there is no legal basis for mandatory transit fees under international law governing straits used for international navigation. Trump reversed course the following day, shifting instead to Gulf state trade and investment commitments. Iran has separately pursued service or environmental fees on some vessels, while broader U.S.-Iran tensions over shipping security continue. These developments, combined with longstanding U.S. commitments to free navigation and allied opposition, have kept trader-implied probabilities for U.S. implementation of direct fees low across resolution dates through year-end.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$960,416Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump announced in mid-July 2026 that the United States would oversee security in the Strait of Hormuz and seek reimbursement equivalent to 20 percent of cargo value, prompting immediate pushback from the International Maritime Organization, which stated there is no legal basis for mandatory transit fees under international law governing straits used for international navigation. Trump reversed course the following day, shifting instead to Gulf state trade and investment commitments. Iran has separately pursued service or environmental fees on some vessels, while broader U.S.-Iran tensions over shipping security continue. These developments, combined with longstanding U.S. commitments to free navigation and allied opposition, have kept trader-implied probabilities for U.S. implementation of direct fees low across resolution dates through year-end.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$960,416Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump announced in mid-July 2026 that the United States would oversee security in the Strait of Hormuz and seek reimbursement equivalent to 20 percent of cargo value, prompting immediate pushback from the International Maritime Organization, which stated there is no legal basis for mandatory transit fees under international law governing straits used for international navigation. Trump reversed course the following day, shifting instead to Gulf state trade and investment commitments. Iran has separately pursued service or environmental fees on some vessels, while broader U.S.-Iran tensions over shipping security continue. These developments, combined with longstanding U.S. commitments to free navigation and allied opposition, have kept trader-implied probabilities for U.S. implementation of direct fees low across resolution dates through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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