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Política·Trump

Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?

Market icon
Política·Trump

Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

12% acaso
Polymarket

$14,809 Vol.

Sim

12% acaso
Polymarket

$14,809 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. Despite the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill via budget reconciliation in July 2025—signed by President Trump to extend 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions like permanent pass-through deductions and introduce no taxes on tips or overtime—traders price "No" at 82.5% odds, reflecting no reduction in the statutory 21% corporate tax rate. Recent IRS guidance (four days ago) and Treasury data (March 10) focus on implementing individual and family tax relief, such as Trump Accounts and child tax credits, amid priorities like tariffs, debt ceiling battles, and FY2027 appropriations cuts. With slim Republican majorities facing 2026 midterms, filibuster hurdles, and no advancing corporate rate legislation, consensus sees significant barriers to further cuts before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Volume
$14,809
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. Despite the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill via budget reconciliation in July 2025—signed by President Trump to extend 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions like permanent pass-through deductions and introduce no taxes on tips or overtime—traders price "No" at 82.5% odds, reflecting no reduction in the statutory 21% corporate tax rate. Recent IRS guidance (four days ago) and Treasury data (March 10) focus on implementing individual and family tax relief, such as Trump Accounts and child tax credits, amid priorities like tariffs, debt ceiling battles, and FY2027 appropriations cuts. With slim Republican majorities facing 2026 midterms, filibuster hurdles, and no advancing corporate rate legislation, consensus sees significant barriers to further cuts before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Volume
$14,809
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump cortará os impostos corporativos antes de 2027?" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?" has generated $14.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?" is "Trump cortará os impostos corporativos antes de 2027?" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.