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Keir previsões e probabilidades

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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

92%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$22.4K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

10

Ends em 1 dia

Who will Trump meet with in May?

Who will Trump meet with in May?

99%

Xi Jinping

$268K Vol.

$77.5K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

100%

Xi Jinping

$443K Vol.

$176K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

99%

Xi Jinping

$410K Vol.

$177K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

40%

Petro - Colombia President

$41.7K Vol.

$121K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

63%

Tucker Carlson

$89.7K Vol.

$47.3K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

90%

Shehbaz Sharif

$5.7K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

1

Ends em 19 dias

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

79%

December 31

$19M Vol.

$690K today

$104K Liq.

845

Ends há 4 meses

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

100%

300+

$99.2K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

1

Ends há 5 dias

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

85%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.3K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

23%

$4.1K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

100%

300+

$25.5K Vol.

$58.8K Liq.

Ends há 5 dias

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

<1%

Fed Rate Cut

$341K Vol.

$67.5K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

1%

1600+

$121K Vol.

$65.1K Liq.

7

Ends há 5 dias

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

100%

500+

$109K Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

11

Ends há 5 dias

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

-

$29.4K Vol.

17

Ends há 24 dias

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

76%

June 30

$111K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

54

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

100%

600+

$51.4K Vol.

$38.5K Liq.

Ends há 5 dias

Parma: Yue Yuan vs Mayar Sherif

Parma: Yue Yuan vs Mayar Sherif

54%

Mayar Sherif

$1.5K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

19%

$1.3K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Keir.

Polymarket currently hosts 112 active markets for Keir that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $21.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Parma: Yue Yuan vs Mayar Sherif”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 79% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Keir predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.