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Política·Cultura

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

icon for Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?
Política·Cultura

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Ended: jun 30

jul 31

Ended: jun 30

jul 31

$2,989,300 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$2,989,300 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Pam Bondi

Pam Bondi

$6,780 Vol.

No

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$1,928,603 Vol.

Yes

icon for Nicolás Maduro

Nicolás Maduro

$34,462 Vol.

Yes

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$14,504 Vol.

No

icon for Norah O'Donnell

Norah O'Donnell

$1,011 Vol.

No

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$114,824 Vol.

Yes

icon for Megyn Kelly

Megyn Kelly

$1,612 Vol.

No

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$125,173 Vol.

Yes

icon for Alex Jones

Alex Jones

$2,137 Vol.

No

icon for Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

$15,811 Vol.

No

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$282,753 Vol.

Yes

icon for Keir Starmer

Keir Starmer

$43,878 Vol.

Yes

icon for Jimmy Kimmel

Jimmy Kimmel

$182,997 Vol.

No

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$16,778 Vol.

No

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$54,236 Vol.

No

icon for Freidrich Merz

Freidrich Merz

$16,938 Vol.

No

icon for Kaitlan Collins

Kaitlan Collins

$1,848 Vol.

Yes

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$17,713 Vol.

No

icon for Pope Leo XIV

Pope Leo XIV

$25,830 Vol.

No

icon for Joe Biden

Joe Biden

$2,400 Vol.

Yes

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$17,489 Vol.

Yes

icon for Melania Trump

Melania Trump

$8,063 Vol.

No

icon for Viktor Orbán

Viktor Orbán

$7,500 Vol.

No

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$42,550 Vol.

No

icon for Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell

$8,012 Vol.

Yes

icon for Emmanuel Macron

Emmanuel Macron

$15,015 Vol.

No

icon for Kevin Warsh

Kevin Warsh

$381 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s pattern of direct public criticism continues to shape trader views on likely targets by June 30. Recent G7 tensions have produced pointed remarks aimed at UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, French President Emmanuel Macron, and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni over trade disputes, Iran policy, and alliance coordination. Separate media encounters, including a June 7 Meet the Press interview, featured sharp exchanges with journalist Kristen Welker and broader attacks on outlets questioning election-related claims. Ongoing military actions and diplomacy involving Iran have also generated statements referencing that country and its leadership. With roughly twelve days remaining, scheduled appearances, interviews, and any escalation in foreign-policy friction remain the main variables that could expand or narrow the set of individuals mentioned by name.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,989,300
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Contestado

Resultado proposto: Yes

Contestado

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s pattern of direct public criticism continues to shape trader views on likely targets by June 30. Recent G7 tensions have produced pointed remarks aimed at UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, French President Emmanuel Macron, and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni over trade disputes, Iran policy, and alliance coordination. Separate media encounters, including a June 7 Meet the Press interview, featured sharp exchanges with journalist Kristen Welker and broader attacks on outlets questioning election-related claims. Ongoing military actions and diplomacy involving Iran have also generated statements referencing that country and its leadership. With roughly twelve days remaining, scheduled appearances, interviews, and any escalation in foreign-policy friction remain the main variables that could expand or narrow the set of individuals mentioned by name.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,989,300
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Contestado

Resultado proposto: Yes

Contestado

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 27 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Benjamin Netanyahu" at 100%, followed by "Nicolás Maduro" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?" has generated $3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?," browse the 27 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?" is "Benjamin Netanyahu" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nicolás Maduro" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.