Trader consensus heavily favors a meeting between President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at 93% probability, boosted by the recent confirmation of a bilateral summit in Beijing on May 14–15, rescheduled from early April amid escalating U.S. military operations in Iran. High odds also price in encounters with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (75%), Russian President Vladimir Putin (73%), and Brazilian President Lula da Silva (72%), reflecting expectations of pragmatic diplomacy on trade, energy, and Ukraine despite ongoing conflicts. Lower probabilities for Taiwan President Lai Ching-te (8%) highlight cross-strait tensions as a barrier. The December G20 summit at Trump National Doral could catalyze multiple leader meetings, while Iran's instability introduces scheduling risks through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$289,387 Vol.

Xi Jinping
93%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
56%

Aleksandr Lukashenko
73%

Keir Starmer
63%

Mohammed bin Salman
69%

Vladimir Putin
69%

Lula da Silva
72%

Changpeng Zhao
31%

Papa Leão XIV
30%

Kim Jong Un
26%

Nicolás Maduro
14%

iShowSpeed
10%

MrBeast
9%

Jair Bolsonaro
8%

Nick Fuentes
7%

Lai Ching-te
6%

Yoon Suk Yeol
2%
$289,387 Vol.

Xi Jinping
93%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
56%

Aleksandr Lukashenko
73%

Keir Starmer
63%

Mohammed bin Salman
69%

Vladimir Putin
69%

Lula da Silva
72%

Changpeng Zhao
31%

Papa Leão XIV
30%

Kim Jong Un
26%

Nicolás Maduro
14%

iShowSpeed
10%

MrBeast
9%

Jair Bolsonaro
8%

Nick Fuentes
7%

Lai Ching-te
6%

Yoon Suk Yeol
2%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors a meeting between President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at 93% probability, boosted by the recent confirmation of a bilateral summit in Beijing on May 14–15, rescheduled from early April amid escalating U.S. military operations in Iran. High odds also price in encounters with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (75%), Russian President Vladimir Putin (73%), and Brazilian President Lula da Silva (72%), reflecting expectations of pragmatic diplomacy on trade, energy, and Ukraine despite ongoing conflicts. Lower probabilities for Taiwan President Lai Ching-te (8%) highlight cross-strait tensions as a barrier. The December G20 summit at Trump National Doral could catalyze multiple leader meetings, while Iran's instability introduces scheduling risks through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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