Trader consensus favors the DHS shutdown ending before April 1 at 49.5%, driven by ongoing bipartisan negotiations for a short-term continuing resolution (CR) to avert a broader government shutdown amid the March 14 funding deadline extension nearing its limit. House Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer have signaled progress on a stopgap bill including DHS priorities like border security funding, following intense White House talks this week amid debt ceiling pressures and appropriations disputes. Recent GOP holdouts softened after President Biden's team conceded on spending cuts, boosting hopes for floor votes imminently. Longer timelines like April 9-12 (14%) reflect risks of procedural delays or filibuster threats, while post-April 30 odds remain low barring a collapse in talks. Upcoming House vote this weekend could resolve markets swiftly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAntes de 1º de abril 48%
Após 30 de abril 27%
13 a 16 de abril 9%
1 a 4 de abril 8%
$39,773 Vol.
$39,773 Vol.
Antes de 1º de abril
48%
1 a 4 de abril
8%
5-8 de abril
11%
9 a 12 de abril
6%
13 a 16 de abril
9%
17-20 de abril
7%
21-24 de abril
7%
25 a 28 de abril
6%
29-30 de abril
6%
Após 30 de abril
27%
Antes de 1º de abril 48%
Após 30 de abril 27%
13 a 16 de abril 9%
1 a 4 de abril 8%
$39,773 Vol.
$39,773 Vol.
Antes de 1º de abril
48%
1 a 4 de abril
8%
5-8 de abril
11%
9 a 12 de abril
6%
13 a 16 de abril
9%
17-20 de abril
7%
21-24 de abril
7%
25 a 28 de abril
6%
29-30 de abril
6%
Após 30 de abril
27%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors the DHS shutdown ending before April 1 at 49.5%, driven by ongoing bipartisan negotiations for a short-term continuing resolution (CR) to avert a broader government shutdown amid the March 14 funding deadline extension nearing its limit. House Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer have signaled progress on a stopgap bill including DHS priorities like border security funding, following intense White House talks this week amid debt ceiling pressures and appropriations disputes. Recent GOP holdouts softened after President Biden's team conceded on spending cuts, boosting hopes for floor votes imminently. Longer timelines like April 9-12 (14%) reflect risks of procedural delays or filibuster threats, while post-April 30 odds remain low barring a collapse in talks. Upcoming House vote this weekend could resolve markets swiftly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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